Match Info

League One - Round 29

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Wutaishan Stadium (Nanjing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Nanjing City		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.85	3.1	1.88	Watch
	3.92	3.66	1.82	Watch
	3.88	3.18	1.9	Watch
	3.8	3.05	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (3.92)	3.25 ↓ (3.66)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
23.6%

Draw
28.1%

Liaoning Tieren
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

25.4%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

24.5%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Liaoning Tieren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Xi Anjie (G) 31. Zhu Qiwen 36. Yuan H. 18. Dong Honglin 2. Wang Xijie 16. Ding Yunfeng 5. Isic T. (C) 22. Meng Zhen 19. Ma Fuyu 27. Zheng Xuejian 9. Ling Jie	1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 21. Nur Sherzat 6. Gao Jiarun 3. Pan Ximing 4. Liu Langzhou 36. Tian Deao 15. Felipe 8. Samuel A. 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 17. Zhao Jianbo 9. Mbenza G.
Substitutes
24. Du Junpeng 7. Guo Yi 34. Horqinhuu H. 11. Hu Rentian 45. Ji Xiang 3. Li Mingfan 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 25. Tayir Shewketjan 8. Yang Dejiang 38. Zhang Hui	27. Chen Yongze 19. Gao Haisheng 11. Gui Zihan 20. Liu Weiguo (G) 44. Nijat Pirkani 30. Shi Xiaton (G) 18. Tian Yinong 16. Wang Tianci 12. Wu Jiongde (G) 25. Yang Jian 41. Zheng Zhiyun
Coaches
Zhang X.	Li Jinyu

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Mbenza G. 🟨,
31', Nur Sherzat 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zheng Xuejian ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
46', Liu Langzhou ↓, Zheng Zhiyun ↑,
46', Felipe ↓, Gao Haisheng ↑,
57', Dong Honglin 🟨,
59', Meng Zhen 🟨,
71', Meng Zhen ↓, Tayir Shewketjan ↑,
71', Zhu Qiwen ↓, Hu Rentian ↑,
72', Mbenza G. ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
72', Zhao Jianbo ↓, Chen Yongze ↑,
79', Wang Xijie 🟨,
83', Nur Sherzat ↓, Wang Tianci ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Gao Jiarun ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
87', Yuan H. ↓, Guo Yi ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Dong Honglin ⚽,
90', Tayir Shewketjan 🟨,
90+3', Ling Jie 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Liaoning Tieren is Qualified for Super League

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 1.

Recent performances by Nanjing City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Liaoning Tieren is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Liaoning Tieren will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nanjing City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
25.10.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Nanjing City	2:3 ✺
19.10.25	Nanjing City - Dingnan United	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Nanjing City	4:1 ✺
05.10.25	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLL
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
26.10.25	Liaoning Tieren - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Ningbo Professional - Liaoning Tieren	0:3 ✺
11.10.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Liaoning Tieren - Dingnan United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
28.06.25	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	1:1
17.08.24	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	5:1
31.03.24	Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren	0:0
05.11.23	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	3:0
23.07.23	Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren	4:0
16.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	1:1
30.08.22	Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren	2:0

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