Match Info

Super League - Round 27

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:35	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Liaoning Tieren		Wuhan Three Towns

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.10	3.40	Watch
	1.95	3.60	3.20
	2.08	3.70	3.05
	1.95	4.05	3.63
	2.2	3.81	2.88	Watch
	1.93	3.90	3.55
	1.89	4.08	3.38	Watch
	1.91	3.85	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.38)	3.89 ↑ (3.76)	3.31 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
47.5%

Draw
24.1%

Wuhan Three Towns
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.2%

24.8%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wuhan Three Towns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wuhan Three Towns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Liaoning Tieren - Wuhan Three Towns Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Zhang Yan (G) 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 3. Pan Ximing 26. Yuan Mincheng 35. Li Haoran 18. Li Tixiang 7. Kouame A. 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 15. Felipe 11. Chen Binbin 47. Jeffinho	31. Guo Jiayu (G) 23. Ming Tian 2. He Guan (C) 13. Zheng Kaimu 4. Xu Haofeng 18. Zhang Xiaobin 21. Xiong J. 20. Adriano Firmino 8. Wang Jinxian 29. Cadiz J. 10. Bevis K.
Substitutes
27. Gao Jiarun 9. Mbenza G. 30. Pang Shenghan 36. Tian Deao 33. Tian Yinong 17. Tian Yuda 16. Wang T. (G) 19. Wu Mingyu 28. Xu Dong 8. Yan Dinghao 34. Zhang H.	15. Chen Zhechao 22. Fang Jingqi (G) 50. Leautey A. 12. Liao Chengjian 5. Li Shenyuan 33. Liu Binbin 19. Liu Yiming 6. Long Wei 16. Min Zixi 28. Wang Denny 9. Zheng Haoqian 30. Zhong Jinbao
Coaches
Seo Jung-Won	Deng Zhuoxiang

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Li Haoran 🟨,
28', Jeffinho 🟨,
30', Ming Tian 🟨,
38', Cadiz J. 🟨,
43', Kouame A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Li Haoran ↓, Zhang H. ↑,
61', Xiong J. 🟨,
62', Yuan Mincheng 🟨,
65', Felipe ↓, Mbenza G. ↑,
72', Wang Jinxian ↓, Leautey A. ↑,
72', Xiong J. ↓, Long Wei ↑,
78', Zhang Xiaobin ↓, Liao Chengjian ↑,
81', Mawlanniyaz D. ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
84', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Chen Binbin ⚽,
87', Bevis K. ↓, Liu Binbin ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Leautey A. ⚽,
87', Ming Tian ↓, Li Shenyuan ↑,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 14th and 15th in the Relegation - League One).

Liaoning Tieren has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Wuhan Three Towns have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Liaoning Tieren has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 2:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Liaoning Tieren against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Liaoning Tieren	29	8	5	16	41:52	-11	29
15	Wuhan Three Towns	29	5	12	12	44:55	-11	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Super League
12.09.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Yunnan Yukun - Liaoning Tieren	5:0 ✺
29.08.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Liaoning Tieren	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Liaoning Tieren - Henan Songshan Longmen	4:4 ✺
15.08.26	Liaoning Tieren - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
18.09.26	Zhejiang Professional - Wuhan Three Towns	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao West Coast	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Wuhan Three Towns	1:5 ✺
22.08.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
16.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Liaoning Tieren	2:2
Chinese Jia League
05.06.21	Wuhan Three Towns - Liaoning Tieren	2:3
11.05.21	Liaoning Tieren - Wuhan Three Towns	1:3

Liaoning Tieren - Wuhan Three Towns