The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wuhan Three Towns 37.6%
Draw 24.6%
Henan Songshan Longmen 37.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
26.8%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
25.6%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wuhan Three Towns's performance.
Henan Songshan Longmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wuhan Three Towns that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Henan Songshan Longmen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
58.3%
25%
Wuhan Three Towns - Henan Songshan Longmen Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Henan Jianye will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% โ 86.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Fang Jingqi (G) 23. Ming Tian 13. Zheng Kaimu 11. Li Ang 4. Xu Haofeng 50. Leautey A. 18. Zhang Xiaobin 20. Adriano Firmino 10. Bevis K. 7. Gustavo Sauer (C) 29. Cadiz J.
33. Shi Chenglong (G) 4. Shinar Yeljan 2. Iago Maidana 23. Lucas Maia 22. Huang Ruifeng 6. Wang Shangyuan (C) 21. He Chao 29. Zheng Dalun 10. Bruno Nazario 8. Pedro Maranhao 9. Gustavo
Substitutes
15. Chen Zhechao 31. Guo Jiayu (G) 12. Liao Chengjian 5. Li Shenyuan 19. Liu Yiming 6. Long Wei 16. Min Zixi 28. Wang Denny 8. Wang Jinxian 21. Xiong J. 9. Zheng Haoqian 30. Zhong Jinbao
13. Abudulam A. 30. Fan Xulin 3. Gerbig O. 15. Haliq Ablahan 5. Liu Jiahui 27. Liu Yixin 11. Muhmet N. 18. Wang Guoming (G) 17. Wang Jinshuai (G) 16. Yang Kuo 25. Yang Yilin 7. Zhong Yihao
Coaches
Soares R.
Ramos D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Cadiz J. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Zheng Dalun ↓, Zhong Yihao ↑,
77', Shinar Yeljan ↓, Muhmet N. ↑,
77', Huang Ruifeng ↓, Haliq Ablahan ↑,
81', Muhmet N. 🟨,
82', Zhang Xiaobin ↓, Liao Chengjian ↑,
82', Leautey A. ↓, Wang Jinxian ↑,
83', He Chao ↓, Gerbig O. ↑,
84', Zheng Kaimu 🟨,
87', Gustavo Sauer ↓, Liu Yiming ↑,
90+1', Xu Haofeng ↓, Chen Zhechao ↑,
90+3', Ramos D. 🟨,
90+4', Chen Zhechao 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Gustavo ⚽, Pedro Maranhao (A),
90+7', Zheng Kaimu 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Henan Jianye may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Wuhan Three Towns has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Wuhan Three Towns: Adriano Firmino
(Yellow Cards)
Chen Zhechao
(Injury)
Yamkam M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Henan Jianye: He Chao
(Yellow Cards)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Wuhan Three Towns won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 2:2.5).
China
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Fang Jingqi (G) 
Leautey A. 
Adriano Firmino 
Bevis K. 
Cadiz J. 
Gerbig O. 
Soares R. 
