Match Info

Super League - Round 18

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Tianjin)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.50	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.30	3.50
	1.86	3.65	3.95	Watch
	2.05	3.55	3.90
	2.03	3.7	3.33	Watch
	2.01	3.35	3.85
	1.94	3.49	3.73	Watch
	1.97	3.40	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.32)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	3.7 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
47.7%

Draw
26.9%

Liaoning Tieren
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.5%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

28.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's performance.

Liaoning Tieren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liaoning Tieren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tianjin Jinmen Tiger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liaoning Tieren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 73.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Yan Bingliang (G) 29. Ba Dun 18. Cordoba A. 6. Wang Xianjun 31. Sun Ming-Him 11. Xie Weijun 14. Huang Jiahui 30. Wang Qiuming (C) 10. Salvador C. 9. Quiles A. 8. Xadas	29. Zhang Yan (G) 3. Pan Ximing 26. Yuan Mincheng 15. Felipe 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 18. Li Tixiang 11. Chen Binbin 7. Kouame A. 9. Mbenza G. 47. Jeffinho
Substitutes
24. Chen Zhexuan 7. Guilherme Schettine 28. Guo Hao 20. Ji Shengpan 38. Li S. 19. Liu J. 16. Liu Shuai 22. Li Yongjia 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 40. Shi Yan 3. Wang Zhenghao 17. Wu Xinghan	27. Gao Jiarun 21. Han Rongze (G) 35. Li Haoran 30. Pang Shenghan 36. Tian Deao 33. Tian Yinong 17. Tian Yuda 28. Xu Dong 8. Yan Dinghao 14. Zang Yifeng 34. Zhang H.
Coaches
Yu Genwei	Seo Jung-Won

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Cordoba A. ⚽, Xadas (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mawlanniyaz D. ↓, Zang Yifeng ↑,
62', Wang Qiuming ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
62', Huang Jiahui ↓, Chen Zhexuan ↑,
66', Sun Ming-Him ↓, Wu Xinghan ↑,
76', Ba Dun ↓, Wang Zhenghao ↑,
76', Quiles A. ↓, Guilherme Schettine ↑,
79', Chen Binbin ↓, Li Haoran ↑,
79', Li Tixiang ↓, Tian Yinong ↑,
88', Felipe ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
88', Kouame A. ↓, Yan Dinghao ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Liaoning Tieren: Li Peng (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Liaoning Tieren: Yuan Mincheng (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	9	8	9	36:32	4	25
14	Liaoning Tieren	26	7	4	15	34:47	-13	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League
06.09.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Zhejiang Professional	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Beijing Guoan	2:4 ✺
09.08.26	Shandong Taishan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTTLL
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Super League
06.09.26	Yunnan Yukun - Liaoning Tieren	5:0 ✺
29.08.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Liaoning Tieren	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Liaoning Tieren - Henan Songshan Longmen	4:4 ✺
15.08.26	Liaoning Tieren - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Dalian Young Boy - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
21.03.26	Liaoning Tieren - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	3:0

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