Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción)

Referee: Romero B. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Libertad Asuncion		Atlético Tembetary

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7	Watch
	1.37	4.1	7
	1.41	4.05	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.2	8.91
	1.52	3.46	8.05	Watch
	1.36	4.2	8.5
	1.4	4.18	8.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.52)	4.1 ↓ (4.12)	7.96 ↑ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
65.7%

Draw
22.6%

Atlético Tembetary
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.6%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertad (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Libertad (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Libertad (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Libertad (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Tembetary (4.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Libertad Asuncion will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertad (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tembetary (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 2. Rojas R. 27. Jacquet M. 4. Gimenez N. 6. Campuzano A. 13. Bogarin J. 18. Franco I. 21. Sanabria L. 15. Cardozo Lucena A. 20. Fernandez H. 11. Aguilar G.	12. Chena J. (G) 2. Caceres L. 5. Marotta N. 3. Olmedo S. 26. Adorno P. 8. Ferreira E. 18. Rojas R. 14. Esteche J. F. 23. Gudino G. 28. Mercado C. 11. Charpentier P.
Substitutes
. Acuna O. 7. Cardozo O. 28. Fernandez M. 30. Fernandez T. 22. Martinez H. 10. Melgarejo L. 19. Recalde J. 24. Santa C. R. 1. Silva M. (G) 35. Troche A. 23. Villalba P. 32. Villalba R.	31. Barreto O. 10. Candia W. 1. Canteros T. (G) 38. Favero C. 19. Gamarra Escobar R. A. 20. Gomez A. 13. Izquierdo R. 21. Montiel A. 9. Morinigo N. 37. Pereira B. 7. Perez E. 40. Zarate D.
Coaches
Aquino S.	Escobar L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Esteche J. F. 🟨,
31', Rojas R. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Marotta N. ⚽, Gudino G. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bogarin J. ↓, Melgarejo L. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Melgarejo L. ⚽, Fernandez H. (A),
60', Rojas R. ↓, Candia W. ↑,
61', Gudino G. ↓, Favero C. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Aguilar G. ⚽, Jacquet M. (A),
69', Esteche J. F. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
69', Mercado C. ↓, Barreto O. ↑,
75', Aguilar G. ↓, Santa C. R. ↑,
75', Franco I. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Santa C. R. ⚽, Fernandez H. (A),
82', Ferreira E. 🟨,
83', Rojas R. ↓, Troche A. ↑,
83', Fernandez H. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
87', Charpentier P. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).

Recent performances by Libertad have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tembetary is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Libertad is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.07.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:1 ✺
11.07.25	2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
01.06.25	2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTLW
- Atlético Tembetary
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.07.25	Atlético Tembetary - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	3:1 ✺
14.07.25	Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Recoleta	2:3 ✺
07.07.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Atlético Tembetary	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Atlético Tembetary - Cerro Porteño	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
04.05.25	Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	0:0
22.02.25	Atlético Tembetary - Libertad Asuncion	1:2
Copa Paraguay
30.11.21	Atlético Tembetary - Libertad Asuncion	0:2
15.08.19	Atlético Tembetary - Libertad Asuncion	1:2

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