Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:30	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	19:30	Tigo Sports
Usa	18:30	Fanatiz


	Libertad Asuncion		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6	Watch
	1.46	4.10	5.50
	1.44	4.15	6.1	Watch
	1.5	4.65	6.3
	1.5	4.26	6.1	Watch
	1.43	4.55	6.55
	1.5	4.44	5.69
	1.45	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)	4.29 (4.29)	6.03 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
63.1%

Draw
21.5%

Sportivo Luqueño
15.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.7%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

21.2%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 2. Benitez A. 5. Flores G. 31. Fernandez T. 4. Gimenez N. 20. Fernandez H. 6. Campuzano A. (C) 21. Sanabria L. 19. Franco I. 9. Aguilar G. 11. Vera E.	1. Campisi N. (G) 22. Ocampos S. 2. Barreto M. 6. Wiechniak F. 23. Cantero A. 14. Benitez F. (C) 10. Bogado G. 24. Beltran S. 21. Ojeda M. 20. Maggi I. 25. Ramos J.
Substitutes
8. Carrizo F. 28. Fernandez M. 23. Freire N. 1. Gonzalez A. (G) 7. Manzur A. 33. Martinez C. 10. Melgarejo L. 38. Meza J. 32. Nequecaur L. 26. Ramirez I. 22. Villalba P. 24. Villalba R.	28. Balbuena A. 18. Bobadilla F. 3. Brizuela A. 37. Comas L. 40. Espinola A. (G) 30. Franco T. 9. Gonzalez W. 26. Lopez O. 8. Maiz A. 29. Muro T. 7. Pereira K. 19. Perez M.
Coaches
Valdez N.	Barrios L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Ramos J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barreto M. ↓, Brizuela A. ↑,
53', Campuzano A. 🟨,
54', Aguilar G. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
54', Sanabria L. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
55', Fernandez H. ↓, Melgarejo L. ↑,
57', Beltran S. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
67', Gimenez N. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
70', Maggi I. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
70', Ojeda M. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
70', Ramos J. ↓, Comas L. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Melgarejo L. ⚽, Carrizo F. (A),
75', Vera E. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
82', Barrios L. 🟨,
84', Valdez N. 🟨,
85', Benitez F. 🟨,
86', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
90+2', Villalba R. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 4.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Bookmakers give the edge to Libertad for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Libertad has recorded 14 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:12 (averaging 2:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Libertad against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:3 goals (averaging 1.8:0.3 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Libertad Asuncion	16	9	3	4	24:17	7	30
9	Sp. Luqueno	16	5	1	10	17:30	-13	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.10.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2 ✺
05.10.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
23.09.26	Fernando de la Mora - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLW
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.10.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:2 ✺
10.10.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	0:3 ✺
05.10.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	3:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
01.10.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.09.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	1:2
10.05.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	2:3
07.03.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0
13.09.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	1:4
05.07.25	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1
11.05.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	1:0
28.02.25	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0

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