Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Río Parapití (Pedro Juan Caballero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	2 de Mayo		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.20	1.90	Watch
	3.60	3.10	1.93
	3.85	3.35	1.89	Watch
	4.27	3.25	2.01
	3.67	3.37	2.02	Watch
	4.20	3.20	1.94
	3.65	3.32	2.02	Watch
	3.55	3.10	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.2)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)	1.96 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

2 de Mayo
24.2%

Draw
28.6%

Libertad Asuncion
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.2%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

29.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Libertad Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi N. (G) 3. Villalba A. 21. Sosa P. (C) 6. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 23. Espinola A. 16. Gomez M. 24. Romero O. 19. Castro C. 40. Gonzalez M. 30. Farina A. 7. Caceres Aguero F. M.	12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 2. Benitez A. 3. Rojas R. 4. Gimenez N. 14. Fretes A. 19. Franco I. 8. Carrizo F. 6. Campuzano A. (C) 24. Villalba R. 26. Ramirez I. 11. Vera E.
Substitutes
26. Aguayo A. 8. Aguilera A. D. 25. Cervera T. 11. Coronel U. 10. Gomez A. 2. Gomez R. 12. Machado A. 27. Moya M. 22. Portillo Avalos T. G. 32. Ramirez M. (G) 5. Saiz C. 18. Silvero F.	9. Aguilar G. 35. Diaz E. 28. Fernandez M. 31. Fernandez T. 5. Flores G. 7. Manzur A. 33. Martinez C. 27. Molinas A. 32. Nequecaur L. 29. Rojas V. (G) 15. Vera T. 22. Villalba P.
Coaches
Ledesma E.	Valdez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Gimenez N. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Ramirez Perdesen C. G. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gomez M. ↓, Portillo Avalos T. G. ↑,
46', Gonzalez M. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
59', Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 🟨,
60', Romero O. ↓, Aguilera A. D. ↑,
62', Vera T. 🟨,
67', Ramirez I. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
67', Villalba R. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
68', Villalba A. ↓, Cervera T. ↑,
72', Caceres Aguero F. M. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
75', Vera E. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
81', Franco I. 🟨,
85', Espinola A. 🟨,
86', Carrizo F. ↓, Manzur A. ↑,
86', Franco I. ↓, Nequecaur L. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Nequecaur L. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Campuzano A. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Libertad will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, 2 de Mayo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Libertad Asuncion	13	8	2	3	21:14	7	26
3	2 de Mayo	13	7	4	2	16:13	3	25

Last Results with these Odds

2 de Mayo - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.7%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.09.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Luqueño	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Sportivo Trinidense - 2 de Mayo	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
20.08.26	Humaitá - 2 de Mayo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWTW
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.09.26	Libertad Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	4:2 ✺
02.09.26	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
20.08.26	Tacuary - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
14.05.26	Libertad Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	0:0
13.03.26	2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion	0:2
21.09.25	Libertad Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	0:1
11.07.25	2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion	0:0
01.06.25	2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion	0:1
28.03.25	Libertad Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	1:1
03.11.24	2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion	2:0

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