Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 21

Date: 31 July 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Gran Mamore (Trinidad)


	Libertad Gran Mamoré		Nacional Potosí

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.25
	2.6	3.55	2.45
	2.83	3.59	2.35
	2.41	3.55	2.75	Watch
	2.58	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.95)	3.5 ↑ (3.45)	2.46 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Libertad Gran Mamoré
35.6%

Draw
26.6%

Nacional Potosí
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.4%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

25.6%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Gran Mamoré has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Gran Mamoré than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Gran Mamoré that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Potosí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.8%	7%	84.2%

Libertad Gran Mamoré - Nacional Potosí Predictions

Users Predictions: Nacional Potosí will win (48 of 57 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.74% – 93.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vaca M. (G) 53. Barbery Gil M. G. 22. Gil S. 3. Zazpe L. 31. Virreira J. 32. Mendoza M. 8. Bejarano A. 26. Rodriguez R. 37. Salces M. 70. Torelli Souza P. 4. Rodriguez D.	1. Mustafa S. (G) 14. Anez O. 2. Torrico L. 17. Guerra S. 25. Leanos H. 23. Saucedo W. 19. Cristaldo G. 16. Torrico A. 10. Nunez M. 9. Tobar T. 22. Hoyos J.
Substitutes
6. Aleman J. 21. Arriaga J. 20. Fernandez D. 19. Medina A. 42. Montenegro L. 9. Rios D. 33. Sandy D. (G) 87. Tellez M. 16. Tomicha P.	21. Cabrera N. 11. Cordoba A. 26. Cuellar V. 13. Gutierrez M. 28. Paco E. 8. Pavia L. 20. Prost M. 7. Romay K. 12. Salvatierra G. (G)
Coaches
Pena J. E.	Robatto F.

Preview

Libertad Gran Mamoré has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nacional Potosí is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nacional Potosí will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Nacional Potosí to win the game is with odds 2.16.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Libertad Gran Mamoré won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Gran Mamoré
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.07.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Libertad Gran Mamoré	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
19.07.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Jorge Wilstermann	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.07.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Always Ready	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
11.07.23	Bolívar - Libertad Gran Mamoré	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
08.07.23	Vaca Díez - Libertad Gran Mamoré	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.07.23	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
19.07.23	Nacional Potosí - Blooming	0:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.07.23	Blooming - Nacional Potosí	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
13.07.23	Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
10.07.23	Nacional Potosí - Oriente Petrolero	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
25.02.23	Nacional Potosí - Libertad Gran Mamoré	5:1

Upcoming Matches