Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Lichtenberg		Chemnitzer

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.9	1.57
	5.2	3.7	1.58
	4.8	3.95	1.6
	5.19	3.85	1.63
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	4.9	4.05	1.62
	4.8	3.95	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (3.35)	3.81 ↑ (3.53)	1.65 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lichtenberg
19.7%

Draw
24.3%

Chemnitzer
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

25.7%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

24.9%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lichtenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lichtenberg's form might have worsened.

Chemnitzer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chemnitzer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lichtenberg than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lichtenberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chemnitzer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lichtenberg - Chemnitzer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Lichtenberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chemnitzer is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lichtenberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chemnitzer is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lichtenberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lichtenberg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Lichtenberg 47
German Regionalliga Nordost
16.10.22	Berliner AK 07 - Lichtenberg	6:0 ✺
09.10.22	Lichtenberg - Meuselwitz	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Babelsberg - Lichtenberg	2:2 ✺
16.09.22	Luckenwalde - Lichtenberg	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Lichtenberg - Altglienicke	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTTL
- Chemnitzer FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
16.10.22	Chemnitzer - Luckenwalde	2:0 ✺
07.10.22	Altglienicke - Chemnitzer	3:3 ✺
01.10.22	Chemnitzer - Chemie Leipzig	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Energie Cottbus - Chemnitzer	3:1 ✺
10.09.22	Chemnitzer - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
29.01.22	Chemnitzer - Lichtenberg	0:0
08.08.21	Lichtenberg - Chemnitzer	1:3

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