Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 30

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yunost Stadium (Lida) 🌤️ ...


	Lida		Molodechno

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.05	3.6
	1.74	4.04	3.46	Watch
	1.57	4.4	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)	4.16 ↑ (4.04)	3.67 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lida
53.7%

Draw
21.7%

Molodechno
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.7%

22.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

21.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Molodechno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lida than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Lida - Molodechno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vasilyuchek V. (C) 10. Chernodarov A. 13. Karpovich E. 6. Katsynel M. 22. Khvostovich D. 3. Legchilin A. 20. Mazurich A. 2. Poluyanov A. 5. Tymonyuk I. 27. Vashkevich D. 23. Zhestarev M.	1. Tretyak D. (G) 15. Alshanik A. (C) 17. Belashevich V. 49. Chernykh I. 12. Gruzhevskiy D. 55. Imeryakov E. 23. Kotlyarov A. 14. Koval I. 18. Petrusevich A. 5. Rusakov V. 37. Shlenkin A.
Substitutes
11. Chergeyko D. 8. Galushko A. 25. Gremza E. (G) 4. Ivanovsky V. 9. Kontsevoy I. 17. Puzach A. 15. Salygo A. 16. Yanushko A. (G)	33. Diva O. (G) 29. Dubovik T. 7. Levchenko B. 91. Mamedov T. 9. Shmarov E. 21. Sokolovskiy M. 78. Solovey F. 10. Volkovets D. 11. Voronovich A. 77. Yushkevich A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Mazurich A. ↓, Chergeyko D. ↑,
15', Alshanik A. 🟨,
22', Belashevich V. 🟨,
24', Koval I. 🟨,
37', Rusakov V. 🟨,
41', Rusakov V. ↓, Volkovets D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Khvostovich D. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
68', Chernodarov A. (Penalty Awarded),
71', 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion: ) and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lida won 2.

Lida has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Molodechno has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lida is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Lida in today's match, at odds of 1.74.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Lida has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lida against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.3:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lida	30	20	3	7	54:43	11	63
7	Molodechno	29	14	3	12	48:50	-2	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lida
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
18.10.26	Gomel 2 - Lida	0:1 ✺
11.10.26	Lida - Orsha	1:0 ✺
02.10.26	Volna Pinsk - Lida	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Lida - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	BumProm Gomel - Lida	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL
- FC Molodechno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
17.10.26	Molodechno - Niva Dolbizno	2:4 ✺
10.10.26	SKA-1938 - Molodechno	5:1 ✺
03.10.26	Molodechno - Slutsk	1:4 ✺
12.09.26	Slonim - Molodechno	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Molodechno - BATE 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.06.26	Molodechno - Lida	0:2
03.05.24	Lida - Molodechno	0:1
19.11.23	Molodechno - Lida	2:3
15.07.23	Lida - Molodechno	0:3
08.10.22	Molodechno - Lida	2:0
05.06.22	Lida - Molodechno	1:1

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