Match Info

Virsliga - Round 32

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday

Location: Daugavas stadions (Liepāja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus


	Liepāja		Auda Riga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	3.25	2.50
	2.28	3.30	2.60	Watch
	2.67	3.60	2.54
	2.26	3.79	2.75	Watch
	2.60	3.30	2.50
	2.50	3.68	2.50
	2.48	3.30	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.45)	3.46 ↑ (3.35)	2.56 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liepāja
37.5%

Draw
26.6%

Auda Riga
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.8%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

26.9%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Liepāja - Auda Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Auda will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Auda (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 50%). Auda (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Oss D. (G) 35. Sorokins V. 34. Talisca 2. Straalman B. 28. Korobenko A. 5. Strumia L. (C) 6. Rodolphe E. 7. Ogunniyi A. 70. Patijcuks D. 23. Haidara A. 18. Oloko E.	98. Purins N. (G) 3. Balodis D. 6. Kragliks R. 4. Ouedraogo M. 71. Rubenis O. 20. Traore Y. 17. Daskevics E. (C) 14. Ibrahim H. 8. Bongemba E. 25. Diedhiou B. 7. Appiah A.
Substitutes
9. Crysthyan 3. Iljins K. 26. Isajevs V. 29. Lakutis L. 44. Leidsman K. 77. Leite A. 17. Melnis B. 22. Mushindi I. 12. Petkovic D. (G)	21. Bocs R. 42. Fofana M. 23. Fofana M. 10. Fofana W. 46. Gerold J. 66. Jaunzems A. 77. Minins J. 22. Ogunji A. 1. Sturins R. (G)
Coaches
Goba J.	Zanetti D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Oloko E. ⚽, Ogunniyi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', Diedhiou B. ↓, Gerold J. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Appiah A. ⚽,
67', Bongemba E. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
69', Straalman B. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Oloko E. ⚽, Patijcuks D. (A),
80', 2 - 2, Rubenis O. ⚽, Gerold J. (A),
83', Korobenko A. ↓, Iljins K. ↑,
84', Kragliks R. 🟨,
86', Appiah A. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
86', Ibrahim H. ↓, Minins J. ↑,
86', Rubenis O. ↓, Ogunji A. ↑,
88', Patijcuks D. ↓, Melnis B. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, Gerold J. ⚽, Fofana W. (A),

Preview

Auda is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification ).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1.

In recent outings, Liepāja has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Auda is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Liepāja has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:23 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Liepāja against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:5 goals (averaging 1.1:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Auda ✔	32	19	7	6	52:32	20	64
4	FK Liepaja	32	12	7	13	43:46	-3	43

Last Results with these Odds

Liepāja - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.61%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
19.09.26	Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Ogre United - Liepāja	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	RFS - Liepāja	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Liepāja - Riga	3:2 ✺
25.08.26	Auda Riga - Liepāja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TTTWL
- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
20.09.26	Auda Riga - RFS	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Auda Riga - Ogre United	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Riga - Auda Riga	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Auda Riga - Grobiņa	1:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
02.09.26	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
25.08.26	Auda Riga - Liepāja	1:0
Latvian Cup
11.07.26	Auda Riga - Liepāja	1:0
Latvian Virsliga
22.05.26	Auda Riga - Liepāja	3:1
08.04.26	Liepāja - Auda Riga	1:2
20.10.25	Auda Riga - Liepāja	1:2
27.07.25	Liepāja - Auda Riga	2:0
24.05.25	Liepāja - Auda Riga	0:0

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