Match Info

Virsliga - Round 20

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Location: Daugavas stadions (Liepāja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Liepāja		RFS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.50	4.40	1.42
	7.00	4.75	1.32	Watch
	5.69	4.90	1.50
	6.27	4.77	1.43	Watch
	5.35	4.85	1.46
	5.21	4.69	1.50
	5.80	4.50	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.83 ↑ (5.28)	4.69 ↑ (3.98)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liepāja
15.9%

Draw
19.7%

RFS
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

22.8%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

22.7%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Liepāja - RFS Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Liepāja (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Oss D. (G) 35. Sorokins V. 4. Martins M. (C) 2. Straalman B. 3. Iljins K. 33. Korotkovs I. 22. Mushindi I. 31. Amatkarijo C. 55. Fellipe Vieira 23. Haidara A. 18. Oloko E.	16. Nerugals J. (G) 6. Filipovic A. 11. Savalnieks R. 23. Prenga H. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 99. Kumater S. 26. Panic S. 18. Zelenkovs D. 66. Saidy M. 49. Kigurs M. 22. Lemajic D.
Substitutes
14. Gueye D. 29. Lakutis L. 44. Leidsman K. 7. Ogunniyi A. 11. Patrikejevs I. 12. Petkovic D. (G) 9. Pulis I. 5. Silva A. 8. Traore A.	7. Diomande I. 17. Kouadio A. 77. Mankenda G. 1. Matrevics R. (G) 30. Njie H. 81. Rakic S. 5. Sliede N. 70. Talla M. 4. Veips R.
Coaches
Vassiljev V.	Morozs V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Korotkovs I. 🟨,
30', Savalnieks R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lemajic D. ↓, Diomande I. ↑,
46', Savalnieks R. ↓, Kouadio A. ↑,
46', Kumater S. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
53', Straalman B. 🟥,
60', Mushindi I. 🟨,
64', Panic S. 🟨,
65', Filipovic A. ↓, Njie H. ↑,
70', Korotkovs I. 🟨,
73', Mushindi I. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
78', Fellipe Vieira ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Lipuscek Z. ⚽, Panic S. (A),
81', Amatkarijo C. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Panic S. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Zelenkovs D. ↓, Rakic S. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1.

Liepāja has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

RFS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, RFS is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:41. (average 0.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	RFS	30	23	5	2	71:22	49	74
4	FK Liepaja	31	12	7	12	41:43	-2	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
21.06.26	Riga - Liepāja	4:0 ✺
16.06.26	Grobiņa - Liepāja	1:0 ✺
12.06.26	Liepāja - Super Nova	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Liepāja - Tukums 2000	3:0 ✺
26.05.26	Jelgava - Liepāja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWT
- FK RFS
Latvian Virsliga
22.06.26	RFS - Ogre United	6:0 ✺
17.06.26	Riga - RFS	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Grobiņa - RFS	1:3 ✺
29.05.26	Super Nova - RFS	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	RFS - Tukums 2000	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
08.05.26	RFS - Liepāja	5:0
13.03.26	Liepāja - RFS	0:1
28.09.25	Liepāja - RFS	2:2
04.07.25	RFS - Liepāja	2:1
14.05.25	Liepāja - RFS	2:1
29.03.25	RFS - Liepāja	4:1
20.09.24	RFS - Liepāja	2:0

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