Match Info

Virsliga - Round 19

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus
Ukraine	Sport 2


	Riga		Liepāja

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.29	5.00	7.50
	1.24	5.4	9.8	Watch
	1.25	6.78	14.49
	1.28	5.53	9.39	Watch
	1.22	5.75	9
	1.25	6.58	8.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)	5.84 ↑ (4.55)	9.83 ↑ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
74.5%

Draw
16%

Liepāja
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

20%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

18.7%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riga's performance.

Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Riga - Liepāja Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Liepāja will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Riga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Orols F. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 21. Musah B. 34. Cernomordijs A. (C) 17. Salazar A. 40. Ankrah A. 7. Aouani R. 18. Oulad M'Hand S. 4. Galo O. 99. Caio Ferreira 19. Badamosi M.	24. Oss D. (G) 22. Mushindi I. 2. Straalman B. 33. Korotkovs I. 5. Silva A. (C) 6. Rodolphe E. 14. Gueye D. 28. Korobenko A. 11. Patrikejevs I. 23. Haidara A. 9. Pulis I.
Substitutes
22. Diop M. 8. Iago Siqueira 70. Juan Christian 13. Jurkovskis R. 44. Kazainis M. (G) 33. Paulo Eduardo 10. Reginaldo Ramires 5. Wassom K. 1. Zviedris K. (G)	31. Amatkarijo C. 3. Iljins K. 29. Lakutis L. 7. Ogunniyi A. 12. Petkovic D. (G) 35. Sorokins V. 8. Traore A. 40. Untulis R.
Coaches
Gula A.	Vassiljev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Salazar A. ⚽, Oulad M'Hand S. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Badamosi M. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 3 - 0, Oulad M'Hand S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Korobenko A. ↓, Sorokins V. ↑,
57', Gueye D. ↓, Amatkarijo C. ↑,
57', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
59', Caio Ferreira ↓, Diop M. ↑,
59', Ankrah A. ↓, Wassom K. ↑,
59', Badamosi M. ↓, Reginaldo Ramires ↑,
67', Pulis I. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
70', Oulad M'Hand S. ↓, Iago Siqueira ↑,
77', 4 - 0, Galo O. ⚽, Wassom K. (A),
78', Aouani R. ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
78', Rodolphe E. ↓, Lakutis L. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riga won 4.

Riga is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Liepāja has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Riga is the clear favorite.

We predict that Riga will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Riga won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:12. (average 2.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Riga won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:4. (average 2.1:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Riga FC	32	23	7	2	88:30	58	76
4	FK Liepaja	32	12	7	13	43:46	-3	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
17.06.26	Riga - RFS	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Ogre United - Riga	1:4 ✺
29.05.26	Riga - Grobiņa	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Riga - Super Nova	3:0 ✺
20.05.26	Tukums 2000 - Riga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW
- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
16.06.26	Grobiņa - Liepāja	1:0 ✺
12.06.26	Liepāja - Super Nova	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Liepāja - Tukums 2000	3:0 ✺
26.05.26	Jelgava - Liepāja	1:1 ✺
22.05.26	Auda Riga - Liepāja	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
03.05.26	Riga - Liepāja	1:0
07.03.26	Liepāja - Riga	2:1
03.10.25	Riga - Liepāja	3:0
Latvian Cup
18.09.25	Liepāja - Riga	0:4
Latvian Virsliga
19.07.25	Liepāja - Riga	2:3
19.05.25	Riga - Liepāja	2:0
03.04.25	Liepāja - Riga	2:5

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