Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Herman Vanderpoortenstadion (Lier)

Referee: De Keyzer T. (Bel)


	Lierse		ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.1	4.5	Watch
	1.62	4.05	4.45
	1.62	4.26	4.82
	2.18	2.02	8.62	Watch
	1.65	4.19	4.43	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.79)	3.73 ↓ (3.82)	5.07 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lierse
55.1%

Draw
25.9%

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.2%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

20.2%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lierse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lierse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Lierse - ROC de Charleroi Marchienne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lierse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lierse will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Vroman K. (G) 2. Perdichizzi P. (C) 66. Mertens J. 4. Vanderhallen S. 14. De Buyser W. 21. De Kerf B. 36. Asare D. 8. Daguin V. 22. Van Meirvenne C. 11. El Touile S. 9. Adinany B.	1. Vitasek D. (C) 49. Kima Beyissa K. 4. Jahic H. 28. Spago E. 8. Lake T. 38. Diallo T. 17. Cachbach M. 2. Sarkic O. 11. Florica L. 5. Thea A. 81. Dailly N.
Substitutes
17. Demuynck D. 12. De Smet J. (G) 58. De Vos V. 48. Gboua Y. 7. Hidraoui-Akachar Y. 94. Lenaerts M. 77. Masaki H. 6. Matuta E. 3. Mayoka-Tika N.	18. Berberi R. 7. Cisse M. 9. Eyongo R. 10. Ion R. 88. Kari S. 6. Kis K. 13. Medfai M. 22. Ramalho J. 40. Van Hecke M. (G)
Coaches
Shoffner J.	Sanchez Aguiar C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Sarkic O. 🟨,
33', Diallo T. 🟨,
37', Jahic H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vanderhallen S. ↓, Demuynck D. ↑,
50', Adinany B. 🟨,
58', Cachbach M. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
61', Asare D. 🟨,
67', De Buyser W. ↓, Gboua Y. ↑,
71', Lake T. ↓, Medfai M. ↑,
72', Florica L. ↓, Ramalho J. ↑,
75', Kima Beyissa K. 🟨,
85', Sarkic O. ↓, Eyongo R. ↑,
85', Diallo T. ↓, Berberi R. ↑,
85', El Touile S. ↓, Masaki H. ↑,
86', Ramalho J. 🟨,
90+1', Thea A. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Masaki H. 🟨,

Preview

Lierse has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

ROCCM is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lierse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lierse is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lierse Kempenzonen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.09.25	Gent U23 - Lierse	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Lierse - RWDM Brussels	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Lokeren - Lierse	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Lierse	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Lierse - Eupen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWLLW
- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian Challenger Pro League
23.09.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Anderlecht U23	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Beveren	0:5 ✺
30.08.25	Seraing - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Kortrijk	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Lommel - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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