Match Info

BELGIUM: Belgian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Herman Vanderpoortenstadion (Lier)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Sporza


	Lierse		Sint-Truidense

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.9	1.7
	3.9	3.6	1.73
	4.33	4	1.8
	4.02	3.79	1.78
	4.02	3.8	1.81	Watch
	3.9	3.75	1.73
	4.12	3.94	1.76	Watch
	4.33	4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.6)	3.85 ↑ (3.6)	1.76 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lierse
23%

Draw
24.2%

Sint-Truidense
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Lierse - Sint Truidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. De Smet J. (G) 23. Boone V. 85. Da Costa E. 8. Daguin V. 27. De Peuter D. 31. Laes B. 3. Marijnissen L. 77. Masaki H. 6. Matuta E. 5. Perdichizzi P. 11. Sow O.	12. Coppens J. (G) 4. Belaid Z. 11. Delpupo I. 14. Dumont O. 9. Ferrari A. 13. Ito R. 53. Nhaili A. 2. Ogawa R. 5. Taniguchi S. 20. Van Helden R. 60. Vanwesemael R.
Substitutes
9. Adinany B. 81. Dailly N. 24. Krabbendam C. 36. Leyssens L. (G) 26. Mawete N. 42. Sampers A. 19. Vermeulen T.	91. Bertaccini A. 8. Fujita J. 31. Godeau B. 16. Kokubo L. (G) 34. Lambotte H. 19. Patris L. 15. Zahiroleslam K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Belaid Z. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Ferrari A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', De Peuter D. ↓, Adinany B. ↑,
63', Ogawa R. ↓, Fujita J. ↑,
63', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
70', Delpupo I. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
70', Laes B. ↓, Sampers A. ↑,
84', Dumont O. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 2, Dumont O. ⚽,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lierse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sint-Truidense is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lierse won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Lierse won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lierse Kempenzonen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
27.10.24	Lierse - RAAL La Louvière	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Brugge U23 - Lierse	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Lierse - Francs Borains	4:0 ✺
28.09.24	Lommel - Lierse	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Lierse - Eupen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LLWTW
- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.10.24	Sint-Truidense - Westerlo	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Genk - Sint-Truidense	3:2 ✺
06.10.24	Sint-Truidense - Gent	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Sint-Truidense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.03.18	Sint-Truidense - Lierse	2:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.05.17	Lierse - Sint-Truidense	1:3
15.04.17	Sint-Truidense - Lierse	2:1
Belgian Cup
24.09.14	Lierse - Sint-Truidense	4:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.02.12	Sint-Truidense - Lierse	1:1

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