Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 38

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Daio Wasabi Stayen (Sint-Truiden)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Sint-Truidense		Gent

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.02	3.65	3.4	Watch
	2.06	3.89	3.49
	2.03	3.8	3.37	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.25
	2.05	3.75	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.88)	3.7 ↓ (3.9)	3.39 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sint-Truidense
46.8%

Draw
25.4%

Gent
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

24.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

23.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Sint Truidense - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Gent will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Gent (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Gent (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kokubo L. (G) 60. Vanwesemael R. 4. Mbe Soh L. 26. Musliu V. (C) 23. Pupe J. 14. Merlen R. 8. Sissako A. 6. Yamamoto R. 13. Ito R. 10. Sebaoui I. 42. Goto K.	33. Roef D. (C) 29. Duverne J. 22. Lopes L. 4. Hashioka D. 20. Araujo T. 27. De Vlieger T. 17. Delorge-Knieper M. 8. Skoras M. 24. Hong Hyun-Seok 11. Sonko M. 7. Kanga W.
Substitutes
12. Coppens J. (G) 33. Diriken A. 3. Hata T. 22. Janssens W. 18. Jukleroed S. 21. Lendfers M. (G) 38. Matsuzawa K. 7. Muja A. 99. Shinkawa S. 5. Taniguchi S.	62. Asselman W. 21. Dean M. 19. Diop M. 15. Ito A. 37. Kadri A. 10. Omgba A. 30. Peersman K. (G) 59. Seck E. H. 54. Vernemmen H.
Coaches
Vrancken W.	De Mil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Ito R. ↓, Muja A. ↑,
45', 0 - 1, Kanga W. ⚽, Delorge-Knieper M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sonko M. ↓, Dean M. ↑,
60', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Kadri A. ↑,
60', Sebaoui I. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
61', Pupe J. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Mbe Soh L. ⚽, Matsuzawa K. (A),
73', Hashioka D. 🟨,
81', Goto K. ↓, Hata T. ↑,
81', Yamamoto R. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
86', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,

Preview

Sint-Truidense is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 2.

Sint-Truidense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gent's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sint-Truidense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Muja A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Gent: Ayinde A. (Injury) De Meyer G. (Inactive) El Adfaoui M. (Inactive) Paskotsi M. (Muscle Injury) Samoise M. (Knee Injury) Van Der Heyden S. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Sint-Truidense: Yamamoto R. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.5:1.4).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Gent: 7.56% St. Truiden: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13:4	9	19
12	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12:12	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.05.26	Club Brugge - Sint-Truidense	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
23.04.26	Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Gent - Sint-Truidense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWT
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.05.26	Gent - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	KV Mechelen - Gent	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Gent - Club Brugge	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Gent - Sint-Truidense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.04.26	Gent - Sint-Truidense	0:0
30.11.25	Gent - Sint-Truidense	1:2
27.07.25	Sint-Truidense - Gent	3:1
07.12.24	Gent - Sint-Truidense	2:0
06.10.24	Sint-Truidense - Gent	1:1
25.05.24	Gent - Sint-Truidense	2:0
23.04.24	Sint-Truidense - Gent	0:2

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