Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Valenzana Mado		Chisola

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	2.92	3.05	2.25
	3.02	3.01	2.33	Watch
	2.9	2.88	2.25
	2.98	3.02	2.3
	2.97	3.01	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)	3.01 ↑ (2.95)	2.27 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenzana Mado
30.5%

Draw
29.8%

Chisola
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

30%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

27.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenzana Mado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Chisola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chisola than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Valenzana Mado - Chisola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, ⚽,
45', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)

Valenzana is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chisola has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Valenzana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Chisola	6	2	2	2	9:7	2	8
17	Valenzana	6	1	1	4	7:10	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Chisola - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 41.81%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenzana Mado
Italian Serie D - Group A
26.04.26	Cairese - Valenzana Mado	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Valenzana Mado - Lavagnese	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Valenzana Mado - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Varese - Valenzana Mado	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Valenzana Mado - Ligorna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWTWW
- Chisola Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
26.04.26	Chisola - Lavagnese	4:2 ✺
19.04.26	Gozzano - Chisola	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Chisola - Ligorna	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Vado - Chisola	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Chisola - Sestri Levante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.25	Chisola - Valenzana Mado	1:0

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