Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lija Athletic		Mosta

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Lija Athletic
10.7%

Draw
16.9%

Mosta
72.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.8%

19%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.8%

12.6%

77.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lija Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mosta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mosta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation to Division 1 and 6).

Lija Athletic has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mosta in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mosta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mosta is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lija Athletic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Lija Athletic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lija Athletic
Maltese Premier League
08.12.20	Zejtun Corinthians - Lija Athletic	2:0 ✺
04.12.20	Lija Athletic - Hamrun Spartans	2:2 ✺
28.11.20	Sliema Wanderers - Lija Athletic	4:1 ✺
20.11.20	Santa Lucia - Lija Athletic	3:2 ✺
15.11.20	Lija Athletic - Sirens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTLLL
- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
09.12.20	Mosta - Valletta	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Floriana - Mosta	0:2 ✺
22.11.20	Senglea Athletic - Mosta	1:3 ✺
30.10.20	Mosta - Santa Lucia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWWWW

Lija Athletic - Mosta