Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - Round 22

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Mosta		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.65	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.7	3.33	2.5
	2.7	3.33	2.5
	2.62	3.2	2.38
	2.62	3.22	2.41
	2.7	3.15	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.5)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)	2.42 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosta
34.3%

Draw
28.1%

Santa Lucia
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.1%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

27.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Udoh A. (G) 21. Agius 8. Aneni E. 77. Brincat Z. (C) 20. Britto W. 10. Linus T. 9. Nwoga C. 6. Obidike C. 27. Scerri J. 92. Tulimieri K. 74. Vassallo J.	12. Celio (G) 15. Bradshaw A. 3. Ellul M. 80. Gomes E. 9. Mensah G. 10. Nagamatsu T. 33. Patrick 17. Pisani J. (C) 7. Pisani S. 20. Virano G. 55. Xerri S.
Substitutes
5. Cachia S. 1. Ciappara D. (G) 19. Dao B. A. 13. Failla C. 33. Farrugia B. 30. Farrugia J. 2. Legault W. 11. Nnaji C. 15. Sammut O. 3. Thomas S. 7. Ugochukwu Ihekuna M.	5. Bonello N. 16. Formosa C. (G) 6. Letherby D. 11. Lucas Sena 21. Moracci S. 4. Ogouvide A. 8. Ojo T. 27. Piazza A. 19. Tanti J. 29. Valletta J. 14. Xuereb D.
Coaches
Grech J.	Zinnari A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Nwoga C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gomes E. ↓, Piazza A. ↑,
46', Mensah G. ↓, Moracci S. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Piazza A. ⚽,
61', Aneni E. 🟨,
65', Patrick 🟨,
72', Brincat Z. 🟨,
72', Scerri J. ↓, Nnaji C. ↑,
76', Piazza A. 🟨,
82', Patrick ↓, Ogouvide A. ↑,
82', Bradshaw A. ↓, Ojo T. ↑,
87', Aneni E. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
88', Brincat Z. ↓, Farrugia J. ↑,
88', Agius ↓, Cachia S. ↑,
89', Virano G. ↓, Letherby D. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mosta won 2.

Mosta is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Lucia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mosta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Mosta won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Mosta won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosta FC
Maltese FA Trophy
30.03.24	Mosta - Sliema Wanderers	2:3 penalties ✺
Maltese Premier League
17.03.24	Gżira United - Mosta	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Mosta - Hamrun Spartans	0:4 ✺
03.03.24	Marsaxlokk - Mosta	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Mosta - Birkirkara	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWL
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Premier League
16.03.24	Santa Lucia - Valletta	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Sliema Wanderers - Santa Lucia	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Santa Lucia - Sirens	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Gudja United - Santa Lucia	0:4 ✺
17.02.24	Santa Lucia - Naxxar Lions	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
02.12.23	Santa Lucia - Mosta	1:0
Club Friendly
25.08.23	Mosta - Santa Lucia	0:1
Maltese Premier League
21.04.23	Mosta - Santa Lucia	2:1
11.12.22	Santa Lucia - Mosta	1:2
24.04.22	Mosta - Santa Lucia	1:1
05.02.22	Mosta - Santa Lucia	1:0
17.10.21	Santa Lucia - Mosta	2:2

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