Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 17

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Referee: Portelli D. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Mosta		Valletta

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.45	1.65	Watch
	5.03	3.76	1.61	Watch
	4.8	3.3	1.67
	4.64	3.61	1.7
	4.75	3.6	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (4.64)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosta
19.1%

Draw
25.6%

Valletta
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

25.6%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

25.3%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Mosta - Valletta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valletta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Udoh A. (G) 21. Agius 2. Agius A. 3. Bolanos M. 77. Brincat Z. (C) 9. Diamanka C. 96. Leo Fernandes 23. Pedro Cacho 16. Sciberras G. 74. Vassallo J. 42. Zibo S.	90. Maringa Adilson (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 4. Borg S. 28. Brewer S. 33. Mbende E. 99. Meijer S. 10. Paiber B. (C) 55. Radic S. 77. Thaylor 20. Yankam Y. 50. Yuri
Substitutes
8. Eke C. 26. Emmanuel P. 18. Farrugia A. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 4. Farrugia K. 10. Giancarlo 14. Joao Victor 13. Luke U. 30. Okereke C. 7. Scerri J.	1. Aquilina T. (G) 9. Ciolacu A. 3. Ellul M. 19. Ewurum K. 13. Frendo L. (G) 31. Melillo T. 98. Mendoza J. 44. Micallef N. 24. Muscat R. 18. Ohaka P. 8. Zammit A.
Coaches
Grech J.	Micallef T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Thaylor ⚽,
30', Borg S. ↓, Micallef N. ↑,
41', Thaylor 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
53', Meijer S. 🟨,
60', Sciberras G. ↓, Giancarlo ↑,
60', Brincat Z. ↓, Emmanuel P. ↑,
64', Agius A. 🟨,
70', Leo Fernandes ↓, Okereke C. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Mbende E. ⚽,
80', Meijer S. ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Zammit A. ⚽,
88', Yankam Y. ↓, Melillo T. ↑,
88', Thaylor ↓, Ellul M. ↑,
88', Zibo S. ↓, Farrugia B. ↑,
88', Paiber B. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
88', Vassallo J. ↓, Farrugia K. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 4, ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 2.

Mosta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valletta is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Mosta has had a series of home games.

In this match, Valletta is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:38. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valletta	6	4	1	1	15:6	9	13
6	Mosta	5	3	1	1	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
11.01.26	Paola Hibernians - Mosta	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows	2:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Mosta - Mqabba	2:1 penalties ✺
Maltese Premier League
19.12.25	Mosta - Naxxar Lions	2:3 ✺
12.12.25	Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWLT
- Valletta FC
Maltese Premier League
10.01.26	Floriana - Valletta	0:0 ✺
07.01.26	Valletta - Birkirkara	2:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
03.01.26	Pembroke Athleta - Valletta	0:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
20.12.25	Valletta - Marsaxlokk	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Valletta - Sliema Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
24.09.25	Valletta - Mosta	4:1
17.02.24	Mosta - Valletta	1:0
Maltese FA Trophy
06.02.24	Mosta - Valletta	2:1
Maltese Premier League
30.09.23	Valletta - Mosta	1:1
19.02.23	Valletta - Mosta	0:0
15.10.22	Mosta - Valletta	3:1
30.04.22	Valletta - Mosta	2:3

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