Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 9

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola) 🌤️ ...


	Mosta		Valletta

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.90	1.50
	5.3	3.65	1.52
	5.4	3.8	1.53
	5.4	3.89	1.54	Watch
	5.25	3.65	1.49
	5.88	3.68	1.5
	5.4	3.8	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.41 ↑ (5)	3.77 ↓ (3.93)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosta
16.7%

Draw
23.9%

Valletta
59.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.3%

23.3%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

22.4%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Mosta - Valletta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Valletta will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Udoh A. (G) 66. Acheampong G. 20. Afriyie P. 30. Cross N. 13. Ebere E. 6. Frendo N. 10. Giancarlo 42. Pedro Cacho 7. Portelli N. 93. Thiaguinho 11. Zammit K.	90. Maringa Adilson (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 4. Bicakcic E. 3. Ellul M. 9. Gomes B. 33. Mbende E. 21. Prsa R. 55. Radic S. 23. Sekulovic P. 19. Tavares D. 8. Zammit A.
Substitutes
14. Agyiri E. 15. Attard L. 16. Chetcuti L. 19. Debono R. 26. Ezejiofor O. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 29. Oderinde C. 9. Ohaka P. 4. Ugwu E. 94. Vassallo S.	31. Alahmar M. 32. Alex Tanque 18. Ancilleri M. 5. Chetcuti S. 80. Ewurum K. 13. Frendo L. (G) 44. Micallef N. 28. Saliba K. 42. Sylla M. 77. Thaylor 20. Yankam Y.
Coaches
Grech J.	Micallef T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Radic S. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Sekulovic P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Prsa R. 🟨,
62', Prsa R. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
63', Gomes B. ↓, Alex Tanque ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Zammit A. ⚽,
73', Zammit A. ↓, Ewurum K. ↑,
74', Thiaguinho ↓, Attard L. ↑,
74', Acheampong G. ↓, Farrugia B. ↑,
75', Frendo N. ↓, Debono R. ↑,
75', Afriyie P. ↓, Ohaka P. ↑,
78', 🟨,
82', Zammit K. 🟨,
84', Pedro Cacho ↓, Vassallo S. ↑,
84', Radic S. ↓, Micallef N. ↑,
84', Azzopardi J. ↓, Yankam Y. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 2.

Mosta has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Valletta is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Mosta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Valletta is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mosta has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:40 (averaging 0.9:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mosta against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with 11:24 goals (averaging 0.9:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Valletta ✔	10	7	1	2	22:9	13	22
7	Mosta	10	3	5	2	15:15	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
18.10.26	Floriana - Mosta	3:3 ✺
14.10.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:1 ✺
09.10.26	Mosta - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mosta - Sliema Wanderers	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Marsaxlokk - Mosta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTTLT
- Valletta FC
Maltese Premier League
17.10.26	Valletta - Sliema Wanderers	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Birkirkara - Valletta	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Valletta	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Valletta - Balzan	2:2 ✺
Maltese Super Cup
07.09.26	Floriana - Valletta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
16.01.26	Mosta - Valletta	0:5
24.09.25	Valletta - Mosta	4:1
17.02.24	Mosta - Valletta	1:0
Maltese FA Trophy
06.02.24	Mosta - Valletta	2:1
Maltese Premier League
30.09.23	Valletta - Mosta	1:1
19.02.23	Valletta - Mosta	0:0
15.10.22	Mosta - Valletta	3:1

Mosta - Valletta