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Current Win Probability
Floriana 61.1%
Draw 21.3%
Mosta 17.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.3%
24.3%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.3%
23.5%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Floriana's performance.
Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+2%)
Floriana - Mosta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Cioletti G. (G) 3. Beerman M. 16. Chapi 9. Dervisagic K. 4. Kauan 14. Kurtalic A. 8. Mbong P. 90. Odey S. 17. Spiteri O. 12. Vella D. (C) 21. Zammit Lonardelli C.
22. Udoh A. (G) 66. Acheampong G. 20. Afriyie P. 30. Cross N. 26. Ezejiofor O. 42. Foguete 6. Frendo N. 10. Giancarlo 7. Portelli N. 93. Thiaguinho 11. Zammit K. (C)
Substitutes
99. Attard D. 25. Cassar G. 6. Drina A. 22. Gudelj T. 37. Jbira Y. 11. Muric R. 27. Newell Z. 80. Picon P. (G) 20. Piscopo E. 5. Rodgers G. 86. Shchepetkin N.
14. Agyiri E. 15. Attard L. 16. Chetcuti L. 19. Debono R. 13. Ebere E. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 9. Ohaka P. 8. Ukpa H. 94. Vassallo S. 96. Wanderson Gotinha
Coaches
Portela D.
Grech J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
19', Zammit K. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Zammit Lonardelli C. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Portelli N. ⚽,
32', Acheampong G. 🟨,
34', 2 - 1, Dervisagic K. ⚽,
39', Vella D. 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 1, Mbong P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Udoh A. ↓, Farrugia J. ↑,
46', Acheampong G. ↓, Attard L. ↑,
46', Afriyie P. ↓, Debono R. ↑,
46', Thiaguinho ↓, Farrugia B. ↑,
69', Dervisagic K. ↓, Muric R. ↑,
72', Kurtalic A. 🟨,
72', Frendo N. ↓, Chetcuti L. ↑,
74', 🟨,
77', Kurtalic A. ↓, Piscopo E. ↑,
85', Zammit Lonardelli C. ↓, Vella D. ↑,
85', Odey S. ↓, Gudelj T. ↑,
85', Mbong P. ↓, Shchepetkin N. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Debono R. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 3, Debono R. ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Mosta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Floriana has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Floriana carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Floriana has recorded 13 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:16 (averaging 2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Floriana against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 23:6 goals (averaging 2.1:0.5 per game).
Malta
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Cioletti G. (G) 
Beerman M. 
Chapi 
Dervisagic K. 
Kauan 
Odey S. 
Udoh A. (G) 
Acheampong G. 
Gudelj T. 
Jbira Y. 
Picon P. (G) 
Portela D. 
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