Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 18

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Floriana		Mosta

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.55	6.5	Watch
	1.36	5.15	6.26
	1.36	5.16	6.33	Watch
	1.36	4.6	6.5
	1.33	4.75	7.18
	1.36	4.2	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.5)	4.74 ↑ (4.2)	6.52 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floriana
66.9%

Draw
19.2%

Mosta
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.8%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21.3%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Floriana's performance.

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Floriana - Mosta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cioletti G. (G) 94. Areias R. 3. Beerman M. 9. Dervisagic K. 8. Grech J. 14. Kurtalic A. 34. Mendonca I. 17. Spiteri O. 10. Varela F. 12. Vella D. (C) 70. Veselji M.	22. Udoh A. (G) 21. Agius (C) 2. Agius A. 3. Bolanos M. 9. Diamanka C. 26. Emmanuel P. 10. Giancarlo 14. Joao Victor 23. Pedro Cacho 74. Vassallo J. 42. Zibo S.
Substitutes
18. Baldacchino L. 22. Chico Teixeira 25. Gamarra G. 19. Jah M. 6. Joyce N. 27. Miceli D. 1. Picon P. (G) 20. Piscopo E. 5. Rodgers G. 11. Scerri Z. 55. Zammit D.	77. Brincat Z. 20. Caruana R. 15. Eikwu-Ojo S. 97. Eke C. 18. Farrugia A. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 13. Luke U. 29. Oderinde C. 7. Scerri J. 16. Sciberras G.
Coaches
Portela D.	Grech J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Emmanuel P. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Varela F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pedro Cacho ↓, Eikwu-Ojo S. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Grech J. ⚽,
61', Areias R. ↓, Jah M. ↑,
62', Zibo S. 🟨,
66', Zibo S. ↓, Oderinde C. ↑,
66', Giancarlo ↓, Sciberras G. ↑,
75', Varela F. ↓, Scerri Z. ↑,
75', Dervisagic K. ↓, Chico Teixeira ↑,
77', Agius ↓, Brincat Z. ↑,
77', Emmanuel P. 🟨,
88', Kurtalic A. ↓, Gamarra G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 4.

Floriana is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Mosta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Floriana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Floriana is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:15. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Floriana won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:5. (average 2.1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	16:7	9	13
6	Mosta	5	3	1	1	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floriana FC
Maltese Premier League
17.01.26	Floriana - Naxxar Lions	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Floriana - Valletta	0:0 ✺
07.01.26	Floriana - Hamrun Spartans	0:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
03.01.26	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	1:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
20.12.25	Floriana - Sliema Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWW
- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
16.01.26	Mosta - Valletta	0:5 ✺
11.01.26	Paola Hibernians - Mosta	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows	2:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Mosta - Mqabba	2:1 penalties ✺
Maltese Premier League
19.12.25	Mosta - Naxxar Lions	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
27.09.25	Mosta - Floriana	0:1
27.04.25	Floriana - Mosta	3:0
Maltese FA Trophy
05.03.25	Floriana - Mosta	2:0
Maltese Premier League
02.03.25	Floriana - Mosta	2:2
23.11.24	Floriana - Mosta	1:0
Club Friendly
11.10.24	Mosta - Floriana	1:2
Maltese Premier League
03.10.24	Mosta - Floriana	0:2

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