Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Lillestrøm SK		Sarpsborg 08

	1	X	2
	2.01	4.06	2.97
	1.96	4.15	2.98	Watch
	1.89	4	2.9
	1.91	3.82	3.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)	4.01 ↓ (4.02)	3.09 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm SK
47.3%

Draw
22.9%

Sarpsborg 08
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

22.8%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

22.7%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dahlberg P. (G) 15. Drammeh S. 11. Elkaer F. 28. Gabrielsen R. 29. Ibrahimaj Y. 19. Jebara C. 23. Jenssen U. 8. Karlsbakk M. 14. Nyheim G. 10. Olsen T. 3. Ottesen S.	87. Oy L. (G) 8. Christiansen S. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 21. Hiim A. 11. Karlsbakk D. 33. Nibe A. 12. Niyukuri C. 5. Odegaard M. 10. Sorli S. 4. Utvik B. 17. Williams N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Nyheim G. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Drammeh S. ⚽,
36', 3 - 1, Nyheim G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 2.

Lillestrøm is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sarpsborg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lillestrøm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lillestrøm might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK
Club Friendly
26.06.26	Lillestrøm SK - Degerfors	2:3 ✺
20.06.26	Midtjylland - Lillestrøm SK	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
25.05.26	Hamarkameratene - Lillestrøm SK	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Lillestrøm SK - Kristiansund	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Lillestrøm SK - Sandefjord	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.05.26	Brann - Sarpsborg 08	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Molde	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Fredrikstad	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
03.05.26	Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08	4:0
Norwegian NM Cup
06.12.25	Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08	3:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.07.24	Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08	2:2
05.05.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK	1:0
17.09.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK	3:1
16.05.23	Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08	1:2
31.07.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK	0:2

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