Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm)

Referee: Berka O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Connect
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Sky Sport Mix
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Tabii Spor 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 9
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Lillestrøm SK		Torreense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.90	4.33
	1.78	3.75	4.40
	1.75	4.00	4.60
	1.81	3.84	4.74
	1.68	4.09	4.84	Watch
	1.75	3.80	4.65
	1.74	3.96	4.68
	1.84	3.85	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.53)	3.9 ↓ (4.56)	4.58 ↓ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm SK
54.4%

Draw
24.6%

Torreense
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

20.9%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

20.5%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lillestrøm SK's form might have worsened.

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lillestrøm SK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	11.4%	5.7%

Lillestrøm SK - Torreense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Lillestrøm (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lillestrøm (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Lillestrom (1.75) (votes: 83%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Lillestrøm SK will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 97.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lillestrøm SK will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dahlberg P. (G) 2. Ranger L. 5. Foss S. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 11. Elkaer F. 29. Ibrahimaj Y. 21. Ottosson F. 14. Nyheim G. 26. Paintsil Y. 8. Gulbrandsen F. 20. Felix Va	31. Adriel (G) 22. David Bruno 5. Mohamed D. 4. Volnei 23. Vazquez J. (C) 6. Oudrhiri A. 8. Alfaro A. 11. Pozo M. 33. Marques J. 7. Jean D. 27. Abubakari M.
Substitutes
25. Akanji S. 22. Bassi D. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 17. Kitolano E. 47. Kristiansen S. 18. Krygard K. 16. Melland H. 15. Nordh G. 10. Olsen T. 3. Ottesen S.	3. Alcedo J. 47. Baradji A. 44. Bjerre S. (G) 17. Drammeh M. 53. Guerreiro R. 21. Jatta N. 45. Mutombo J. 86. Rijo G. 75. Silva M. 26. Simoes A. 2. Stopira 19. Zoabi K.
Coaches
Odegaard H.	Tralhao L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Alfaro A. ⚽, David Bruno (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Pozo M. ⚽, Vazquez J. (A),
51', Pozo M. 🟨,
57', David Bruno 🟨,
58', Gulbrandsen F. 🟨,
61', Paintsil Y. ↓, Bassi D. ↑,
61', Gulbrandsen F. ↓, Olsen T. ↑,
61', Ibrahimaj Y. ↓, Kitolano E. ↑,
65', Pozo M. ↓, Jatta N. ↑,
69', Jatta N. 🟨,
71', Jean D. 🟨,
76', Ottosson F. ↓, Krygard K. ↑,
78', Abubakari M. ↓, Drammeh M. ↑,
78', Marques J. ↓, Simoes A. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Olsen T. ⚽, Felix Va (A),
81', Nyheim G. ↓, Melland H. ↑,
85', Jatta N. 🟨,
87', Jean D. ↓, Alcedo J. ↑,
87', Vazquez J. ↓, Stopira ↑,

Preview

Lillestrøm is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Torreense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lillestrøm is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Lillestrøm: Alperud L. (Injury) Garnas E. B. (Knee Injury) Jebara C. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Torreense: 0.62% Lillestrom: 0.24%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Torreense	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien
12.09.26	Lillestrøm SK - Vålerenga	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Brann - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Lillestrøm SK - Fredrikstad	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Lillestrøm SK - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2:1 AET ✺
20.08.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Lillestrøm SK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWT
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.26	Torreense - Leixões	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Benfica B - Torreense	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Torreense - Vizela	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Lusitânia - Torreense	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Torreense - Penafiel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLTT

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