Match Info

Date: 4 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm)

Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)


	Lillestrøm SK		Royal Antwerp

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.65
	2.55	3.25	2.7
	2.79	3.28	2.63
	2.5	3.25	2.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.25)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	2.64 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm SK
35.6%

Draw
29%

Royal Antwerp
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lillestrøm SK's performance.

Royal Antwerp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Royal Antwerp might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lillestrøm SK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Royal Antwerp could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Lillestrøm SK - Royal Antwerp Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 12 - 30%). Antwerp will win (votes: 8 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.5% – 65.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Lillestrøm is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Antwerp in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Antwerp could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien
31.07.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Lillestrøm SK - SJK	5:2 ✺
21.07.22	SJK - Lillestrøm SK	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
17.07.22	Odd - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
10.07.22	Lillestrøm SK - Viking Stavanger	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWL
- Royal Antwerp FC
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.07.22	Royal Antwerp - Zulte Waregem	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Drita Gjilan - Royal Antwerp	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.07.22	KV Mechelen - Royal Antwerp	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Royal Antwerp - Drita Gjilan	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.22	Royal Antwerp - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWTW

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