Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 24

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen)

Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 2, Sporza, Sporza


	KV Mechelen		Royal Antwerp

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.92	Watch
	2.5	3.25	3.11
	2.42	3.27	3	Watch
	2.4	3	2.9
	2.46	3.21	3.04	Watch
	2.42	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.57)	3.21 ↓ (3.42)	2.97 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
38.8%

Draw
29.4%

Royal Antwerp
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.5%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Royal Antwerp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	11.8%	52.9%

KV Mechelen - Royal Antwerp Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Antwerp will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Antwerp: 32% – 80.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Antwerp (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Mechelen (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Antwerp (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Royal Antwerp will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Antwerp (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Miras N. (G) 33. St. Jago T. 8. Konate M. 3. Marsa J. 38. Antonio B. 19. Mrabti K. 6. Hammar F. 17. Servais M. 27. Vanrafelghem K. 28. Boersma B. 9. van Brederode M.	41. Nozawa T. (G) 33. Van Den Bosch Z. 21. Verstraeten A. 4. Tsunashima Y. 24. Somers T. 8. Praet D. 78. Dierckx X. 5. Foulon D. 30. Scott C. 79. Vandeplas G. 18. Janssen V. (C)
Substitutes
11. Bafdili B. 12. Bande H. 39. Decoene M. 4. Diouf G. 22. Golic L. 21. Ozdemir H. 14. Raman B. 18. Struyf I. 15. Van Ingelgom T. (G) 23. Zekri M.	76. Achihi O. 9. Al Sahafi M. 10. Babadi I. 23. Bijl G. 43. Hamdaoui Y. 25. Kouyate K. 17. Renders S. 15. Thoelen Y. (G) 14. Valencia A.
Coaches
Vanderbiest F.	Oosting J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, van Brederode M. ⚽, Marsa J. (A),
38', Foulon D. ↓, Al Sahafi M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Vandeplas G. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
61', Somers T. ↓, Hamdaoui Y. ↑,
62', Verstraeten A. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Vanrafelghem K. ⚽, van Brederode M. (A),
71', Servais M. ↓, Zekri M. ↑,
71', Antonio B. ↓, Decoene M. ↑,
71', Decoene M. 🟨,
79', Vanrafelghem K. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
79', van Brederode M. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
79', Scott C. ↓, Bijl G. ↑,
80', Dierckx X. ↓, Babadi I. ↑,
90+3', Boersma B. ↓, Bande H. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mechelen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O. (Knee Injury) Diouf G. (Inactive) Golic L. (Inactive) Halhal R. (Yellow Cards) Koudou T. (Yellow Cards) Lenaerts M. (Inactive) Salifou D. (Knock)

There will not play in Antwerp: Benitez M. (Hamstring Injury) Engels B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hairemans G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Antwerp: Somers T. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Antwerp: 0.83% KV Mechelen: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11:15	-4	7
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5:14	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

KV Mechelen - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.8%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Royal Antwerp - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.55%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.02.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	KV Mechelen - Westerlo	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	KV Mechelen - Servette	2:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.25	KV Mechelen - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLWT
- Royal Antwerp FC
Belgian Cup
05.02.26	Anderlecht - Royal Antwerp	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.01.26	Cercle Brugge - Royal Antwerp	0:4 ✺
25.01.26	Royal Antwerp - Charleroi	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Dender EH - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
13.01.26	Royal Antwerp - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.08.25	Royal Antwerp - KV Mechelen	2:1
13.12.24	KV Mechelen - Royal Antwerp	1:1
24.08.24	Royal Antwerp - KV Mechelen	0:1
17.02.24	Royal Antwerp - KV Mechelen	0:1
30.09.23	KV Mechelen - Royal Antwerp	0:0
Belgian Super Cup
23.07.23	Royal Antwerp - KV Mechelen	2:1 penalties
Belgian Cup
30.04.23	KV Mechelen - Royal Antwerp	0:2

Upcoming Matches