Match Info

NORWAY: Eliteserien - Round 6

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Sarpsborg Stadion (Sarpsborg)

Referee: Aslam U. (Nor)


	Sarpsborg 08		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	3	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.75
	2.35	3.75	2.9	Watch
	2.21	3.96	2.96
	2.36	3.76	2.91
	2.2	3.75	2.62
	2.37	3.68	2.83	Watch
	2.31	3.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.11)	3.67 ↓ (3.96)	2.85 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 08
41.1%

Draw
25.8%

Lillestrøm SK
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

24.4%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

25%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ilic M. (G) 32. Wichne E. 5. Odegaard M. 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 17. Hiim A. 8. Andersen J. (C) 6. Sher A. 23. Sandberg N. 10. Johansen S. 27. Orjasaeter S. 19. Meister H.	12. Hedenstad M. (G) 16. Charles U. 28. Gabrielsen R. 3. Roseth M. 19. Tonnesen K. 23. Asen G. (C) 7. Ibrahimaj Y. 17. Kitolano E. 33. Skogvold H. 10. Olsen T. 64. Larsson E.
Substitutes
7. Andersen M. 14. Berget J. 4. Casas A. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 18. Ngouali S. 40. Oy L. (G) 20. Reinhardsen P. 3. Skipper A. 98. Zekhnini R.	11. Elkaer F. 30. Foss S. 90. Furaha E. S. 4. Garnas E. B. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 18. Karlin A. 15. Knudtzon E. 24. Lucky E. 8. Lundemo M.
Coaches
Billborn S.	Georgson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Olsen T. 🟨,
60', Sandberg N. ↓, Zekhnini R. ↑,
66', Skogvold H. ↓, Lundemo M. ↑,
66', Odegaard M. 🟨,
68', 1 - 0, Wichne E. ⚽, Orjasaeter S. (A),
69', Johansen S. ↓, Berget J. ↑,
80', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Skipper A. ↑,
80', Wichne E. ↓, Reinhardsen P. ↑,
80', Larsson E. ↓, Knudtzon E. ↑,
80', Asen G. ↓, Karlin A. ↑,
81', Meister H. ↓, Andersen M. ↑,
85', 🟨,
88', Tonnesen K. ↓, Furaha E. S. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Sarpsborg have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Sarpsborg won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Råde - Sarpsborg 08	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.24	Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08	0:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
25.04.24	Hønefoss - Sarpsborg 08	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.24	Sarpsborg 08 - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLT
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	2:4 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.24	Lillestrøm SK - Hamarkameratene	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Strømmen - Lillestrøm SK	4:5 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.24	Sandefjord - Lillestrøm SK	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Lillestrøm SK - Bodø Glimt	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
17.09.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK	3:1
16.05.23	Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08	1:2
31.07.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK	0:2
16.05.22	Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08	1:0
Club Friendly
26.03.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK	2:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
02.10.21	Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK	2:1
28.07.21	Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08	2:0

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