Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 4

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play
Norway	TV2 Play


	Lillestrøm SK		Start

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.46	4.25	7.3	Watch
	1.44	5.26	6.76
	1.42	5.2	6.36	Watch
	1.4	4.6	6
	1.45	4.85	6.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.59)	4.82 ↑ (4.71)	6.51 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm SK
65.9%

Draw
19.6%

Start
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

20.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

19.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lillestrøm SK's performance.

Start has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Start might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lillestrøm SK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Start could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lillestrøm SK - Start Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lillestrøm SK will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dahlberg P. (G) 2. Ranger L. 5. Foss S. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 3. Ottesen S. 29. Ibrahimaj Y. 15. Drammeh S. 8. Karlsbakk M. 17. Kitolano E. 20. Felix Va 10. Olsen T.	1. Larsen J. (G) 18. Ugland M. 29. Reitan E. 6. Norheim J. 19. Tonnesen K. 16. Strannegard T. 11. Schulze E. (C) 30. Gausdal L. 23. Segberg E. 22. Ampofo J. 17. Cornelius J.
Substitutes
7. Alperud L. 9. Arierhi K. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 19. Jebara C. 23. Jenssen U. 22. Kitolano J. 14. Nyheim G. 26. Paintsil Y. 6. Woxen H.	13. Griesbeck S. 7. Gurendal A. F. 5. Jebali O. 20. Lorentzen H. 14. Soomets M. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G) 27. Toure O. 3. Ujkani A.
Coaches
Odegaard H.	Karadas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Karlsbakk M. ⚽,
23', Ugland M. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Karlsbakk M. ⚽, Ranger L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Norheim J. ↓, Jebali O. ↑,
61', Gausdal L. ↓, Lorentzen H. ↑,
61', Cornelius J. ↓, Toure O. ↑,
62', Segberg E. 🟨,
68', 3 - 0, Felix Va ⚽, Olsen T. (A),
72', Olsen T. ↓, Arierhi K. ↑,
72', Schulze E. ↓, Soomets M. ↑,
72', Ampofo J. ↓, Gurendal A. F. ↑,
72', Drammeh S. ↓, Jebara C. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Toure O. ⚽, Lorentzen H. (A),
87', Kitolano E. ↓, Nyheim G. ↑,
89', Ibrahimaj Y. 🟨,
90+1', Jebali O. 🟨,
90+2', Toure O. 🟨,
90+5', Jebara C. 🟨,
90+6', Felix Va ↓, Jenssen U. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 3.

Lillestrøm has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Start is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Lillestrøm is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Lillestrøm: Elkaer F. (Knee Injury) Krygard K. (Injury) Waehler M. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Start: Mvoue S. (Shoulder Injury) Torkildsen J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Gabrielsen R. (Shoulder Injury) Garnas E. B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Start: Meyer J. (Groin Injury) Palerud F. (Injury) Strannegard T. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2.4:1).

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Lillestrom: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	28:29	-1	32
16	Start	21	4	4	13	22:44	-22	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien
06.04.26	Molde - Lillestrøm SK	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Örgryte - Lillestrøm SK	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.03.26	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	4:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.03.26	Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK	1:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.03.26	Hamarkameratene - Lillestrøm SK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLWW
- IK Start
Norwegian Eliteserien
06.04.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Start	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Tromsø - Start	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.03.26	Start - Aalesunds	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Start	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.03.26	Sandefjord - Start	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.08.25	Lillestrøm SK - Start	3:0
26.07.25	Start - Lillestrøm SK	0:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
11.12.19	Lillestrøm SK - Start	4:3
07.12.19	Start - Lillestrøm SK	2:1
16.09.18	Start - Lillestrøm SK	3:0
09.04.18	Lillestrøm SK - Start	1:0
Club Friendly
09.12.16	Lillestrøm SK - Start	3:0

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