Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 3

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Sarpsborg Stadion (Sarpsborg)

Referee: Aslam U. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play
Norway	TV2 Play


	Sarpsborg 08		Start

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	4	Watch
	1.82	3.9	3.9	Watch
	1.85	3.97	4.21
	1.73	4.24	4.19	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.9
	1.83	4.06	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.74)	3.96 ↓ (4.01)	4.01 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 08
52.5%

Draw
23.9%

Start
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

23.5%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

23.2%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Start has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Sarpsborg 08 - Start Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarpsborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sarpsborg 08 will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ndiaye M. (G) 12. Niyukuri C. 24. Rosted S. 4. Utvik B. 21. Hiim A. 10. Sorli S. (C) 6. Sher A. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 15. Opoku M. 33. Nibe A. 11. Karlsbakk D.	1. Larsen J. (G) 18. Ugland M. 29. Reitan E. 6. Norheim J. 19. Tonnesen K. 16. Strannegard T. 11. Schulze E. (C) 14. Soomets M. 23. Segberg E. 17. Cornelius J. 20. Lorentzen H.
Substitutes
26. Chriso 25. Gregersen J. 18. Gueye B. 2. Koch M. 5. Odegaard M. 87. Oy L. (G) 81. Svenningsen Gronn M. 32. Wichne E. 17. Williams N.	22. Ampofo J. 30. Gausdal L. 13. Griesbeck S. 7. Gurendal A. F. 5. Jebali O. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G) 27. Toure O.
Coaches
Sel E.	Karadas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Cornelius J. ⚽, Schulze E. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Niyukuri C. ⚽, Opoku M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Lorentzen H. ↓, Ampofo J. ↑,
62', Schulze E. ↓, Toure O. ↑,
64', Ugland M. 🟨,
70', Niyukuri C. ↓, Wichne E. ↑,
76', Ugland M. ↓, Gausdal L. ↑,
82', Opoku M. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
82', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Gueye B. ↑,
84', Reitan E. 🟨,
86', Segberg E. 🟨,
90+1', Nibe A. ↓, Koch M. ↑,
90+8', Strannegard T. ↓, Jebali O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 3.

In recent matches, Sarpsborg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Start is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Sarpsborg is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Start: Gurendal A. F. (Thigh Injury) Meyer J. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F. (Injury) Reinhardsen P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Start: Mvoue S. (Shoulder Injury) Palerud F. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:5. (average 2.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sarpsborg 08	21	6	7	8	24:29	-5	25
16	Start	21	4	4	13	22:44	-22	16

Last Results with these Odds

Start - the odds 4.24 are the expected chance of winning is 22.25%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.03.26	Sandefjord - Sarpsborg 08	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
08.03.26	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.03.26	Viking Stavanger - Sarpsborg 08	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Kristiansund - Sarpsborg 08	0:1 ✺
19.02.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Zbrojovka Brno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWW
- IK Start
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Tromsø - Start	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.03.26	Start - Aalesunds	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Start	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.03.26	Sandefjord - Start	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Bryne - Start	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
08.11.20	Start - Sarpsborg 08	3:2
12.07.20	Sarpsborg 08 - Start	1:0
Club Friendly
10.06.20	Sarpsborg 08 - Start	4:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
07.10.18	Start - Sarpsborg 08	1:0
16.05.18	Sarpsborg 08 - Start	4:0
29.07.16	Sarpsborg 08 - Start	1:0
21.04.16	Start - Sarpsborg 08	1:4

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