Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo Cruzeiro (Ponte de Lima)


	Limianos		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.98	3
	2.35	2.87	2.96
	2.32	3.11	2.99	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.9
	2.32	3.3	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.24)	3.01 ↓ (3.13)	2.95 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limianos
39.2%

Draw
30.1%

Tirsense
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limianos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limianos than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Limianos - Tirsense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 6)

Limianos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tirsense is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Limianos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Limianos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Limianos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tirsense	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9
5	AD Limianos	4	2	2	0	8:5	3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Limianos - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.57%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Tirsense - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.34%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Limianos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
04.04.26	Chaves B - Limianos	3:0 ✺
25.03.26	Limianos - Ribeira Brava	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Bragança - Limianos	4:1 ✺
15.03.26	Limianos - Desportivo Monção	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Mirandela - Limianos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWT
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
04.04.26	Tirsense - Desportivo Monção	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Mirandela - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tirsense - Ribeira Brava	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Celoricense - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Tirsense - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.12.25	Tirsense - Limianos	1:0
29.03.25	Limianos - Tirsense	2:2
08.12.24	Tirsense - Limianos	0:0
17.03.24	Limianos - Tirsense	0:3
03.12.23	Tirsense - Limianos	0:1

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