Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Mirandela		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.92	2.15
	3.48	2.81	2.16
	3.41	2.91	2.19	Watch
	3.4	2.7	2.15
	3.53	2.82	2.16
	3.05	2.95	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.05)	2.85 ↓ (2.95)	2.15 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandela
26.8%

Draw
31.5%

Tirsense
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

29.5%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

27.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Tirsense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Mirandela - Tirsense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 6).

In recent matches, Mirandela has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tirsense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tirsense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandela won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirandela won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tirsense	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9

Last Results with these Odds

Tirsense - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 42.01%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Mirandela
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.03.26	Chaves B - Mirandela	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Mirandela - Limianos	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Desportivo Monção - Mirandela	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Bragança - Mirandela	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mirandela - Ribeira Brava	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWLL
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.03.26	Tirsense - Ribeira Brava	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Celoricense - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Tirsense - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Camacha - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Tirsense - Machico	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
30.11.25	Tirsense - Mirandela	3:1
21.01.24	Tirsense - Mirandela	3:0
03.09.23	Mirandela - Tirsense	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.01.22	Tirsense - Mirandela	0:0
03.10.21	Mirandela - Tirsense	1:1

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