Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 20

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo (Santo Tirso)


	Tirsense		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.65
	1.69	3.2	5
	1.7	3.25	5.04	Watch
	1.75	2.9	4.8
	1.69	3.2	5.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	4.91 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
52.7%

Draw
28.9%

Vilaverdense
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

28.3%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

27.5%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Tirsense - Vilaverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, ⚽,
89', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tirsense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tirsense is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tirsense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tirsense	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
21.02.26	Camacha - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Tirsense - Machico	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Brito - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Tirsense - São Martinho	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Vianense - Tirsense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTTWL
- Vilaverdense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.02.26	Vilaverdense - Chaves B	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Limianos - Vilaverdense	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Vilaverdense - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Camacha - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Mirandela - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
26.10.25	Vilaverdense - Tirsense	2:0

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