Match Info

Date: 1 May 2021, Saturday


	Limon		San Carlos

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.2
	2.85	3.3	2.23
	3	3.3	2.1
	3.25	3.63	2.22
	2.8	3.2	2.3
	3.08	3.52	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.25)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	2.2 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limon
30.6%

Draw
27.5%

San Carlos
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

19.9%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Limon's form might have worsened.

San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Carlos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limon than the current prediction. (+26.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Limon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Carlos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Limon - San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 8).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Limon won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Limon won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Limon
Costa Rican Primera Division
25.04.21	Santos de Guápiles - Limon	3:2 ✺
21.04.21	Limon - Deportivo Saprissa	1:2 ✺
17.04.21	Pérez Zeledón - Limon	3:2 ✺
10.04.21	Limon - Sporting San José	3:1 ✺
03.04.21	Municipal Grecia - Limon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWT
- AD San Carlos
Costa Rican Primera Division
26.04.21	San Carlos - Pérez Zeledón	0:1 ✺
22.04.21	Municipal Grecia - San Carlos	2:1 ✺
18.04.21	San Carlos - Santos de Guápiles	1:0 ✺
09.04.21	Cartagines - San Carlos	1:1 ✺
04.04.21	Sporting San José - San Carlos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
28.02.21	San Carlos - Limon	0:3
14.10.20	Limon - San Carlos	0:2
30.08.20	San Carlos - Limon	2:2
04.03.20	San Carlos - Limon	1:1
15.01.20	Limon - San Carlos	1:2
15.10.19	San Carlos - Limon	2:2
17.08.19	Limon - San Carlos	3:4

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