The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Municipal Grecia 19.1%
Draw 23.3%
San Carlos 57.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.8%
23%
59.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.4%
21.1%
54.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal Grecia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Grecia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Municipal Grecia - San Carlos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Sanchez L. (G) 4. Noya R. (C) 5. Gutierrez K. 22. Aguero J. 25. Sanchez J. 3. Martinez P. 32. Castro S. 29. Ramirez E. 8. Arauz A. 77. Roman S. 6. Ugalde J.
1. Carvajal D. (G) 2. Rivera R. 5. Roman Y. 16. Acuna S. 18. Peraza J. 22. Cabral A. 7. Yanis C. 8. Rodriguez A. 10. Leiva G. 14. Mena M. (C) 99. Martinez B.
Substitutes
15. Castro S. 27. Marckes D. 18. Oviedo D. 70. Rivera Stuart J. 14. Salas D. 16. Salmeron I. 37. Vega R. (G)
29. Arroyo F. 30. Diaz D. 24. Mendez G. 77. Murcia B. 12. Sanchez D. 17. Soto A. 23. Vega J. (G)
Coaches
Roman J.
Marin L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Martinez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ugalde J. ↓, Suarez S. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Martinez P. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Rivera R. ⚽,
64', Roman S. ↓, Salmeron I. ↑,
64', Arauz A. ↓, Rivera Stuart J. ↑,
64', Rodriguez A. ↓, Arroyo F. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Gutierrez K. ⚽,
79', Martinez B. 🟨,
89', Martinez B. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
89', Leiva G. ↓, Murcia B. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Grecia won 1.
Grecia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches San Carlos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
San Carlos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match San Carlos is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Grecia won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27-32.
Including matches at home between the teams Grecia won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.
Watch
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Sanchez L. (G) 
Noya R. (C) 
Gutierrez K. 
Yanis C. 
Marckes D. 
Diaz D. 
