Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 22

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez (Ciudad Quesada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	Tigo Sports


	San Carlos		Santos de Guápiles

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.9
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	1.96	3.28	4.05
	2	3.19	3.98	Watch
	2	3.1	3.7
	1.92	3.24	3.95	Watch
	2	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)	3.2 ↓ (3.21)	3.78 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Carlos
46.8%

Draw
28.8%

Santos de Guápiles
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.9%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

27.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Santos de Guápiles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos de Guápiles than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

San Carlos - Santos de Guápiles Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Santos de Guápiles will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Carlos won 2.

San Carlos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santos de Guápiles's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

San Carlos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

San Carlos might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Carlos won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:25. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Carlos won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:13. (average 2.1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD San Carlos
Costa Rican Primera Division
02.05.25	Sporting San José - San Carlos	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	San Carlos - Herediano	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Municipal Liberia - San Carlos	0:1 ✺
16.04.25	San Carlos - Cartagines	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Puntarenas FC - San Carlos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWLL
- Santos de Guápiles
Costa Rican Primera Division
03.05.25	Santos de Guápiles - Pérez Zeledón	3:1 ✺
25.04.25	Santa Ana - Santos de Guápiles	3:3 ✺
19.04.25	Santos de Guápiles - Puntarenas FC	1:1 ✺
15.04.25	Herediano - Santos de Guápiles	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Santos de Guápiles - Sporting San José	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
15.01.25	Santos de Guápiles - San Carlos	1:1
23.09.24	San Carlos - Santos de Guápiles	2:2
Costa Rican Copa
20.08.24	Santos de Guápiles - San Carlos	1:0 penalties
Costa Rican Primera Division
17.08.24	Santos de Guápiles - San Carlos	0:4
27.02.24	San Carlos - Santos de Guápiles	4:0
16.01.24	Santos de Guápiles - San Carlos	2:4
08.11.23	Santos de Guápiles - San Carlos	0:2

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