Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Linares Deportivo		Atlético Malagueño

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.15	3.9
	1.9	3.17	4.35
	1.79	3.18	4.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.72)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	4.22 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
49.5%

Draw
28.9%

Atlético Malagueño
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

22.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Linares Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Linares Deportivo - Atlético Malagueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Sarria C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Menudo ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Linares is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Linares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Linares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	Real Jaén - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Linares Deportivo - Xerez CD	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Linares Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	La Unión - Linares Deportivo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLLL
- Atlético Malagueño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	Atlético Malagueño - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Malagueño	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Águilas	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Melilla - Atlético Malagueño	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Estepona	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.04.18	Linares Deportivo - Atlético Malagueño	1:0
15.10.17	Atlético Malagueño - Linares Deportivo	3:2

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