Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Real Jaén		Linares Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.25
	1.75	3.37	4.84
	1.77	3.28	4.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.88)	3.32 ↑ (3.23)	4.49 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
52.1%

Draw
27.6%

Linares Deportivo
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.2%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Real Jaén - Linares Deportivo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jaén (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Manny ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 1.

In recent matches, Jaén has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Linares is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Linares may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jaén is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaén won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Linares Deportivo - the odds 3.88 are the expected chance of winning is 23.47%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	Minera - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Real Jaén - Eldense	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	Real Jaén - Almeria B	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Puente Genil - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Real Jaén - Melilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWTT
- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	Linares Deportivo - Xerez CD	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Linares Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	La Unión - Linares Deportivo	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Linares Deportivo - Minera	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.01.20	Real Jaén - Linares Deportivo	1:4
30.12.18	Linares Deportivo - Real Jaén	1:0
26.08.18	Real Jaén - Linares Deportivo	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.02.18	Linares Deportivo - Real Jaén	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.01.17	Linares Deportivo - Real Jaén	3:1
04.09.16	Real Jaén - Linares Deportivo	0:0
07.05.16	Linares Deportivo - Real Jaén	1:0

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