Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Malagueño		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.98	1.98
	4.02	3.2	2
	3.95	3.06	1.95	Watch
	3.88	3.31	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (3.95)	3.14 ↑ (3.06)	1.98 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Malagueño
23.8%

Draw
29.4%

UCAM Murcia
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

29.9%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

28.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Atlético Malagueño - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Bueno A. 🟥,
84', 1 - 0, Rosa M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Malagueño is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

UCAM Murcia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, UCAM Murcia has had a series of home games.

UCAM Murcia could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that UCAM Murcia will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

UCAM Murcia - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 46.93%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Malagueño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Malagueño	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Águilas	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Melilla - Atlético Malagueño	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Estepona	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Antoniano - Atlético Malagueño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Cádiz	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Almeria B - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWWW

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