Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 32

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Ceuta		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.96	3.36	3.89
	1.94	3.34	3.84
	1.97	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.1)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	3.73 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
47.3%

Draw
28.2%

Badajoz
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Ceuta - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ceuta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Badajoz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceuta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.04.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Ceuta - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Alcorcón - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
19.03.23	Ceuta - San Fernando	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Córdoba - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TWTTT
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.04.23	Badajoz - Real Madrid Castilla	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
26.03.23	Badajoz - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Celta de Vigo B - Badajoz	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Linense - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.10.22	Badajoz - Ceuta	2:1

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