Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Linares Deportivo		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.95	3	3.6
	2.05	3.1	3.75
	2.03	3.03	4.13
	2.1	2.8	3.2
	2.01	3.06	3.93
	2.01	3.05	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.12)	3.01 ↑ (2.8)	3.69 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
45.1%

Draw
30.2%

Mérida AD
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

31.7%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

32.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Linares Deportivo - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Casado S. (G) 18. Perejon D. 12. Marin A. 17. Martinez A. 3. Varela F. 15. Duarte J. 8. Rodri 11. Berlanga M. 6. Moreno A. 21. Llorente R. 14. Corral S.	1. Juanpa (G) 19. Felipe 22. Bourdal T. 12. Falcon E. 2. Midon D. 16. Martin J. 8. Ndongo N. 5. Acosta L. 14. Beneit R. 7. Sandoval D. 9. Chuma
Substitutes
30. Carrillo M. 7. Diaz H. 1. Juskevicius E. (G) 4. Molina M. 19. Ortuno F. 27. Oyon A. 28. Suarez L. 9. Vazquez A. 29. Zaki	11. Escardo A. 6. Gutierrez I. 21. Llacer L. 10. Mukai A. 18. Padilla J. 3. Prada R. 29. Prevedini M. 23. Rodriguez D. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Linares won 1.

Linares has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Linares will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Linares won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Linares won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.01.24	Atlético Madrid B - Linares Deportivo	5:0 ✺
03.01.24	Linares Deportivo - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Melilla - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Linares Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Linares Deportivo - Elche	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.01.24	Mérida AD - Granada B	1:0 ✺
03.01.24	Alcoyano - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Ceuta - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Mérida AD - Málaga	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Intercity - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.08.23	Mérida AD - Linares Deportivo	1:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.05.23	Mérida AD - Linares Deportivo	2:1
28.08.22	Linares Deportivo - Mérida AD	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.04.17	Mérida AD - Linares Deportivo	1:0
20.11.16	Linares Deportivo - Mérida AD	0:1
17.04.16	Mérida AD - Linares Deportivo	1:1
29.11.15	Linares Deportivo - Mérida AD	1:1

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