Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Victoria Stadium (Gibraltar)

Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 14
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 19
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 16
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Lincoln Red Imps		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	12	7.5	1.2
	11	6.4	1.21
	10.5	6.46	1.24
	3.23	3.35	2.19	Watch
	12	6.84	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.75 ↑ (9)	6.11 ↑ (5.63)	1.41 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln Red Imps
10.5%

Draw
16.8%

Lech Poznań
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.5%

16.8%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Lincoln Red Imps have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	4%	88%

Lincoln Red Imps - Lech Poznań Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lech (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Lincoln Red Imps (2.09) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Lincoln Red Imps (3.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lech Poznań will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln Red Imps (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Lech (votes: 10 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hankins J. (G) 3. Rutjens C. 6. Lopes B. (C) 21. Nano 24. Kolega T. 9. Gomez K. 8. Mandi 70. Villacanas V. 10. De Barr T. 80. Dabo B. 18. Garcia T.	41. Mrozek B. (C) 20. Gumny R. 72. Skrzypczak M. 27. Monka W. 4. Moutinho J. 23. Thordarson G. 6. Ouma T. 19. Fiabema B. 99. Rodriguez P. 14. Bengtsson L. 7. Agnero Y.
Substitutes
5. Ayew I. 7. Casciaro L. 29. Chipolina L. 19. Clinton K. 23. Joe 11. Juanje 15. Munoz R. 1. Nauzet Santana (G) 71. Peacock J. 4. Pozo N. 2. Toscano J.	31. Bakowski K. (G) 3. Douglas A. 15. Gurgul M. 9. Ishak M. 88. Ismaheel T. 54. Jakobczyk K. 43. Kozubal A. 56. Lisman K. 16. Milic A. 77. Palma L. 2. Pereira J. 33. Pruchniewski M. (G)
Coaches
Bezares J.	Frederiksen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Agnero Y. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Gomez K. ⚽, Lopes B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gumny R. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
46', Agnero Y. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
46', Bengtsson L. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
53', Dabo B. 🟨,
57', Fiabema B. ↓, Ishak M. ↑,
61', Gomez K. ↓, Pozo N. ↑,
72', Thordarson G. ↓, Kozubal A. ↑,
76', Hankins J. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Ishak M. (Pen),
82', Dabo B. ↓, Juanje ↑,
87', Villacanas V. ↓, Toscano J. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Rutjens C. ⚽, Kolega T. (A),

Preview

Lech is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lincoln Red Imps may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lech is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Thigh Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Walemark P. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Lincoln Red Imps: Ayew I. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Lincoln Red Imps	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	Braga - Lincoln Red Imps	5:1 ✺
21.08.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Braga	0:4 ✺
14.08.25	Noah Yerevan - Lincoln Red Imps	0:1 penalties ✺
07.08.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Noah Yerevan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LLLWT
- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.10.25	Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien	4:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.09.25	Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWTT

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