Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Europa Sports Complex (Gibraltar)

Referee: Tsakalidis A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Sport Bladet Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lincoln Red Imps		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.90	1.70	Watch
	4.40	4.10	1.66
	4.25	4.25	1.63	Watch
	4.32	4.32	1.74
	5	4.65	1.57	Watch
	3.85	4.25	1.72
	4.66	3.98	1.70	Watch
	4.50	4.10	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↓ (7.85)	4.19 ↓ (4.84)	1.68 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln Red Imps
21.3%

Draw
22.5%

Mjällby
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

19.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln Red Imps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln Red Imps's performance.

Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mjällby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.7%	7.1%	82.1%

Lincoln Red Imps - Mjällby Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lincoln Red Imps (2.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Mjällby (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mjällby will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln Red Imps (votes: 2 - 40%). Mjällby (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nauzet Santana (G) 66. Eersteling J. 8. Mandi 3. Rutjens C. 18. Garcia T. 32. Alvarez F. 6. Lopes B. (C) 23. Joe 21. Nano 9. Gomez K. 44. Toledano M.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 5. Iqbal A. 2. Svanberg L. 24. Pettersson T. 39. Arrhenius R. 25. Nielsen M. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 23. Samuelsen A. 9. Youssef A. 18. Bergstrom J. 17. Stroud E.
Substitutes
20. Britto E. 5. Cardozo T. 7. Casciaro L. 19. Flalhi Idrissi Y. 77. Garcia R. 27. Hamm M. (G) 13. Hankins J. (G) 2. Jolley E. 10. Mula A. 4. Pinto N. 22. Torrilla G.	3. Agnarsson M. 15. Bang-Kittilsen B. 14. Granath V. 7. Gustafson V. 8. Helge T. 10. Kjaer J. 29. Lindberg O. 35. Lundin A. (G) 19. Manneh A. 33. Miettinen T. 4. Noren A. 27. Tidstrand L.
Coaches
Pavon	Aksum K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Pettersson T. 🟨,
39', Samuelsen A. 🟨,
42', Garcia T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Youssef A. ↓, Kjaer J. ↑,
46', Garcia T. ↓, Pinto N. ↑,
46', Alvarez F. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
49', Nano 🟨,
56', Svanberg L. 🟨,
64', Nielsen M. ↓, Granath V. ↑,
64', Arrhenius R. ↓, Gustafson V. ↑,
65', Gomez K. ↓, Flalhi Idrissi Y. ↑,
66', Stroud E. ↓, Lindberg O. ↑,
69', Kjaer J. 🟨,
71', Joe ↓, Jolley E. ↑,
72', Mandi 🟨,
77', Eersteling J. 🟨,
82', Svanberg L. ↓, Noren A. ↑,
88', Rutjens C. ↓, Cardozo T. ↑,
90+1', Gustavsson J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-3.

Mjällby's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mjällby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mjällby is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lincoln Red Imps won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Mjällby - Lincoln Red Imps	3:0 ✺
14.07.26	Inter Escaldes - Lincoln Red Imps	1:1 ✺
07.07.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Inter Escaldes	3:1 ✺
Gibraltar National League
22.02.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Mons Calpe	3:0 ✺
12.02.26	Europa - Lincoln Red Imps	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWWT
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.07.26	Kalmar - Mjällby	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Mjällby - Lincoln Red Imps	3:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.07.26	Mjällby - Västerås SK	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Mjällby - AIK	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Sirius - Mjällby	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Mjällby - Lincoln Red Imps	3:0

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