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Current Win Probability
Liniers 45.5%
Draw 31.9%
Villa San Carlos 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
29.5%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
27.1%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liniers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liniers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa San Carlos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Liniers - Villa San Carlos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rotundo M. (G) 3. Canosa J. 4. Di Motta R. (C) 2. Formichelli S. 10. Gallegos E. 9. Gauna B. 11. Gridel M. 6. Lugarzo L. 5. Palacio S. 8. Penoni A. 7. Sallaberry I.
1. Akimenco T. (G) 10. Acosta A. 2. Areco G. 3. Canete S. 8. Farias F. 5. Gonzalez E. 4. Lloyaiy A. (C) 7. Lugones A. 6. Ojeda F. 11. Ponton A. 9. Salinas R.
Substitutes
13. Bouvier J. 18. Camejo F. 17. Camejo J. 20. Coria T. 12. De Feliche C. (G) 14. Fiordeliso M. 19. Linas M. 15. Rodon F. 16. Tejada U.
12. Bangardino P. (G) 18. Cairo F. 13. Estevez 14. Fabi S. 15. Flores S. 16. Guallama F. 17. Mussis F. 19. Pavia K. 20. Villagra J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Gauna B. ⚽,
11', Salinas R. ↓, Pavia K. ↑,
45', Acosta A. 🟨,
45+2', Sallaberry I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Acosta A. ↓, Guallama F. ↑,
46', Lugarzo L. ↓, Bouvier J. ↑,
59', Ponton A. ↓, Villagra J. ↑,
59', Farias F. ↓, Fabi S. ↑,
60', Penoni A. ↓, Camejo J. ↑,
60', Gallegos E. ↓, Rodon F. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Lugones A. ⚽,
65', Rodon F. 🟨,
71', Sallaberry I. ↓, Camejo F. ↑,
77', Lugones A. ↓, Mussis F. ↑,
80', Gauna B. ↓, Coria T. ↑,
86', Villagra J. 🟨,
90+2', Camejo J. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
In recent matches, Liniers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Villa San Carlos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Liniers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Liniers is seen as the favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liniers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Liniers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Villa San Carlos
38
11
14
13
37:39
-2
47
17
Liniers
38
10
13
15
31:39
-8
43
Last Results with these Odds
Villa San Carlos - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.68%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Rotundo M. (G) 
Gonzalez E. 
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