Match Info

Primera B - Round 18

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Genacio Salice Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Villa San Carlos		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.35	2.88	2.15	Watch
	3.45	2.9	2.25
	3.51	2.72	2.27	Watch
	3.4	2.7	2.2
	3.44	2.84	2.19
	2.95	2.88	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.95)	2.82 ↓ (2.88)	2.23 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa San Carlos
27.1%

Draw
32.2%

Excursionistas
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

31.1%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

31.3%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Akimenco T. (G) 5. Acosta A. 11. Cairo F. 8. Fabi S. 3. Flores S. 4. Lloyaiy A. (C) 7. Lugones A. 2. Machin L. 10. Melillo E. 6. Ojeda F. 9. Pavia K.	1. Rodriguez N. (G) 11. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Maizarez I. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Polvera M. 5. Zoratti G.
Substitutes
12. Bangardino P. (G) 14. Farias F. 13. Martinez A. 16. Mussis F. 19. Plastino M. 15. Ponton A. 18. Salinas R. 20. Villagra J. 17. Zegarra Z.	12. Blengio M. (G) 19. Cardozo M. 15. Damiolini N. 14. Paulides A. 17. Pereyra J. 13. Rodriguez G. 18. Scaramuzzi E. 20. Tellas G. 16. Valenzuela A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Lugones A. 🟨,
9', Pedrosa G. 🟨,
29', Zoratti G. 🟨,
41', Arango M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pavia K. ↓, Plastino M. ↑,
46', Lugones A. ↓, Salinas R. ↑,
50', Maizarez I. 🟨,
52', Flores S. 🟨,
59', Salinas R. 🟨,
61', Blanco M. ↓, Cardozo M. ↑,
61', Alaniz M. ↓, Damiolini N. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Arango M. ⚽,
64', Melillo E. ↓, Mussis F. ↑,
68', Espeche A. ↓, Paulides A. ↑,
69', Ojeda F. ↓, Villagra J. ↑,
69', Cairo F. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Damiolini N. ⚽,
78', Polvera M. ↓, Tellas G. ↑,
78', Arango M. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
85', 🟨,
85', 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 2.

Villa San Carlos is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Excursionistas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Excursionistas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa San Carlos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
13	Villa San Carlos	38	11	14	13	37:39	-2	47

Last Results with these Odds

Villa San Carlos - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.39%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Villa San Carlos
Argentinian Primera B
26.05.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Villa San Carlos	3:0 ✺
22.05.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Villa San Carlos	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Villa San Carlos - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Laferrere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTLL
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
27.05.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas	2:2 ✺
22.05.26	Excursionistas - Liniers	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
22.08.25	Excursionistas - Villa San Carlos	0:0
05.04.25	Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas	2:1
14.07.24	Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas	2:2
24.02.24	Excursionistas - Villa San Carlos	1:0
Argentinian Primera C
30.06.19	Excursionistas - Villa San Carlos	1:1 penalties
22.06.19	Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas	3:2
25.02.19	Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas	0:1

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