The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Pilar 52.9%
Draw 28.9%
Villa San Carlos 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
29%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
28%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Real Pilar - Villa San Carlos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perafan P. (G) 2. Abre F. 8. Cesar J. 11. Crocco M. (C) 4. Isola G. 3. Leguiza D. 7. Mancini V. 9. Martinez F. 10. Pansardi F. 5. Rojas M. 6. Vega L.
1. Akimenco T. (G) 5. Acosta A. 10. Cairo F. 2. Farias F. 3. Flores S. 4. Lloyaiy A. (C) 7. Lugones A. 11. Melillo E. 6. Ojeda F. 9. Pavia K. 8. Ponton A.
Substitutes
15. Achucarro D. 18. Aguilar R. 16. Blanco S. 19. Camargo T. 14. Cardozo Lacoste F. E. 13. Franco E. 20. Garcia P. 17. Gonzalez D. 12. Sanchez S. (G)
12. Bangardino P. (G) 14. Canete S. 13. Fabi S. 18. Guallama F. 15. Martinez O. 17. Mussis F. 20. Salinas R. 19. Villagra J. 16. Zegarra Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Pansardi F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cairo F. ↓, Canete S. ↑,
46', Flores S. ↓, Salinas R. ↑,
54', Cesar J. ↓, Blanco S. ↑,
59', Abre F. 🟨,
65', Isola G. 🟨,
65', Isola G. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
66', Acosta A. ↓, Mussis F. ↑,
66', Ponton A. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
72', Lugones A. 🟨,
73', Blanco S. 🟥,
76', Lugones A. ↓, Guallama F. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Guallama F. ⚽,
77', Melillo E. 🟨,
81', Rojas M. ↓, Achucarro D. ↑,
81', Abre F. ↓, Camargo T. ↑,
81', Martinez F. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
In recent matches, Real Pilar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Villa San Carlos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Real Pilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Real Pilar has had a series of away games.
In this match, Real Pilar is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Real Pilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Real Pilar
38
17
10
11
42:38
4
61
13
Villa San Carlos
38
11
14
13
37:39
-2
47
Last Results with these Odds
Real Pilar - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.22%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.