Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lipno Stęszew		KKS Kalisz

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.30	2.25
	2.62	3.3	2.32
	2.57	3.32	2.37
	2.63	3.39	2.39	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.3
	2.62	3.34	2.27	Watch
	3.5	3.65	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.5)	3.36 ↑ (3.35)	2.25 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lipno Stęszew
33.2%

Draw
26.8%

KKS Kalisz
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.3%

26.5%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipno Stęszew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lipno Stęszew's performance.

KKS Kalisz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KKS Kalisz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lipno Stęszew that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KKS Kalisz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lipno Stęszew - KKS Kalisz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 8th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with KKS Kalisz holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	KKS Kalisz	14	4	6	4	18:20	-2	18
17	Lipno Steszew	14	3	2	9	17:28	-11	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.10.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lipno Stęszew	3:4 ✺
03.10.26	Lipno Stęszew - Chemik Bydgoszcz	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Września - Lipno Stęszew	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Lipno Stęszew	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLTWL
- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.10.26	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:4 ✺
03.10.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - KKS Kalisz	5:0 ✺
27.09.26	KKS Kalisz - Kluczevia Stargard	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - KKS Kalisz	1:1
12.09.26	KKS Kalisz - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWTT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Lipno Stęszew	✺

Lipno Stęszew - KKS Kalisz