Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB BEKER - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday


	Lisse		Dordrecht

	1	X	2
	6	5	1.44
	5.5	4.4	1.43
	6	4.75	1.42	Watch
	5.95	4.71	1.42
	6.5	4.75	1.36
	6.3	4.9	1.43
	6	4.8	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.04 ↑ (5)	4.76 ↑ (4)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lisse
15.3%

Draw
19.4%

Dordrecht
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

22.4%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

21.7%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lisse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dordrecht's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lisse than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Lisse - Dordrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lisse will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Meendering J. (G) 5. Baly D. 6. Brinkman T. 14. Heemskerk W. 11. Hudepohl M. 2. Kasanwirjo N. 28. Klinkenberg D. 7. Panka D. 19. van der Putten J. 18. van der Putten R. 12. Zwetsloot T.	31. Doornbusch T. (G) 14. Bronkhorst I. 5. Hilton J. 9. Kriwak R. 10. Schuurman J. 40. Sebaoui I. 16. Segecic A. 21. Shein R. R. 24. Smolarczyk B. 20. Suray M. (C) 3. van den Avert J.
Substitutes
1. de Groot R. (G) 27. Koene A. 21. Mussche B. 23. Reeuwijk H. 16. van der Meer D. 17. van der Meer M. 20. van Ekeris R. 22. van Rees M. 25. Wassenaar L. (G)	2. Aberkane A. 13. Baltussen T. (G) 28. Brito E. 29. de Bie J. 17. Osundina K. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 6. Receveur T. 12. van Gogh R. 26. van Vianen D. 22. Zand S.

Preview

Lisse has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dordrecht is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lisse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dordrecht is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lisse
Dutch Tweede Divisie
28.10.23	Quick Boys - Lisse	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Lisse - Spakenburg	1:3 ✺
07.10.23	Kozakken Boys - Lisse	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Lisse - Noordwijk	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Jong Almere City - Lisse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.10.23	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	5:1 ✺
23.10.23	Helmond Sport - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
20.10.23	Dordrecht - Jong Ajax	4:0 ✺
06.10.23	Dordrecht - Cambuur	5:2 ✺
29.09.23	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTWWT

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