The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Helmond Sport 44.2%
Draw 24.9%
Dordrecht 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.2%
24.4%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
24.1%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
11.1%
11.1%
Helmond Sport - Dordrecht Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 50.6% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Helmond Sport will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (G) 24. Et Taibi A. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 28. Vos D. 5. Poll T. 34. Essakkati T. 8. Llonch P. (C) 36. Leipold A. 11. Daneels L. 9. Bajrami L. 26. Makanza N.
63. Biai C. (G) 2. van Aken J. 4. Drakpe A. 23. Woudenberg L. 5. Hilton J. 25. Vugts S. 21. Vetkal M. (C) 9. Carrillo S. 16. Bae S. 29. Rossi N. 46. Eduardo Y.
Substitutes
23. Aben K. (G) 22. Dizdarevic A. 47. Geerts D. 41. Geerts J. 19. Ingason H. 4. Koglin B. 6. Ludwig M. 16. Lukowicz M. 2. Ogenia J. 17. Semic L. 21. Wentges H. (G)
11. Afaker M. 28. Codutti L. 1. Coremans T. (G) 24. Huitzing G. 17. Joe T. 70. Malasomma M. 15. M'Bemba Y. 14. Pynadath J. 8. Sunderland L. 10. van der Sluijs J. 7. Venema N. 77. Verdonk S.
Coaches
Seegers J.
Kuyt D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Van Den Eynden F. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Llonch P. ⚽, Makanza N. (A),
37', Vugts S. 🟨,
44', Bae S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Carrillo S. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
46', Rossi N. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
58', Leipold A. 🟨,
63', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
67', 🟨,
67', Woudenberg L. ↓, M'Bemba Y. ↑,
67', Vetkal M. ↓, van der Sluijs J. ↑,
71', 🟨,
73', Essakkati T. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Vos D. (Own goal),
79', 1 - 2, van Aken J. ⚽, Venema N. (A),
86', Et Taibi A. ↓, Koglin B. ↑,
86', Llonch P. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
87', Poll T. ↓, Lukowicz M. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Helmond Sport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Helmond Sport could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J.
(Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
Van de Giessen L.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
Netherlands
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Bergsen M. (G) 
Et Taibi A. 
Van Den Eynden F. 
Llonch P. (C) 
Leipold A. 
Bajrami L. 
Makanza N. 
Biai C. (G) 
Drakpe A. 
Hilton J. 
Vetkal M. (C) 
Carrillo S. 
Bae S. 
Rossi N. 
Eduardo Y. 
Dizdarevic A. 
Ingason H. 
Koglin B. 
Ogenia J. 
Codutti L. 
Huitzing G. 
M'Bemba Y. 
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