Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 24

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: M-Scores Stadion (Dordrecht)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Dordrecht		Den Bosch

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	3	Watch
	2.08	3.95	2.98	Watch
	2.15	4.01	3.01
	2.19	3.89	2.85	Watch
	2.1	3.7	2.9
	2.13	3.75	2.96	Watch
	2.12	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.13)	3.82 ↑ (3.66)	2.94 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
43.9%

Draw
24.4%

Den Bosch
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

25.1%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Dordrecht - Den Bosch Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Den Bosch will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
63. Biai C. (G) 15. M'Bemba Y. 3. Valk S. (C) 4. Hardley B. 5. Hilton J. 22. Darelas A. 8. Sunderland L. 16. Bae S. 20. Yoon D. 59. de Bie J. 46. Eduardo Y.	36. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. 3. Maas S. 27. Akmum R. 5. de Groot N. 10. van Leeuwen T. 6. Felida K. (C) 33. Laros M. 11. Verbeek D. 8. Monzialo K. 7. Sille G.
Substitutes
11. Afaker M. 9. Carrillo S. 28. Codutti L. 1. Coremans T. (G) 24. Huitzing G. 14. Pynadath J. 29. Rossi N. 2. van Aken J. 18. van Asten R. 10. van der Sluijs J. 7. Venema N. 21. Vetkal M.	1. Bakker M. (G) 47. Barglan S. 40. Boumassaoudi I. 15. de Vries J. 26. el Bakkali Z. 9. Karlsson Grach S. 17. Semedo E. 31. van Balsfoort R. (G) 42. Van Koeverden L.
Coaches
Kuyt D.	Landvreugd U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Akmum R. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Yoon D. ⚽,
18', Fortes J. 🟨,
27', Valk S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Akmum R. ↓, Barglan S. ↑,
46', Sille G. ↓, de Vries J. ↑,
52', de Groot N. 🟨,
64', Hilton J. ↓, Codutti L. ↑,
65', de Bie J. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
65', Bae S. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
65', van Leeuwen T. ↓, Karlsson Grach S. ↑,
65', Verbeek D. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Felida K. ⚽, Barglan S. (A),
70', 2 - 1, Carrillo S. ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, Karlsson Grach S. ⚽, de Vries J. (A),
77', Yoon D. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Eduardo Y. ⚽, Rossi N. (A),
84', Laros M. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
90', Darelas A. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 4.

Dordrecht has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Den Bosch has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Den Bosch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Den Bosch has had a series of home games.

Dordrecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Malasomma M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 37:44. (average 1.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 2.4:2.4).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Dordrecht: 0.65% Den Bosch: 0.59%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13:27	-14	8

Last Results with these Odds

Dordrecht - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.14%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.01.26	Waalwijk - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht	3:1 ✺
12.12.25	Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven	3:4 ✺
06.12.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLL
- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.01.26	Den Bosch - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	Den Bosch - PSV Eindhoven	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Den Bosch - Kozakken Boys	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.12.25	Den Bosch - Vitesse	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.12.25	Den Bosch - Katwijk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.09.25	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	3:3
12.04.25	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	4:0
01.12.24	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	2:3
29.03.24	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	0:3
27.10.23	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	5:1
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	2:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.03.23	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	3:1

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