Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Belvedere (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	18:30	Disney+
Brazil	18:30	Disney+
Mexico	15:30	Disney+
Peru	16:30	Disney+
Uruguay	18:30	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	17:30	Disney+


	Liverpool Montevideo		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.25	2.00	Watch
	3.30	3.20	2.05
	3.00	3.05	2.23
	3.66	3.36	2.11
	3.22	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3.60	3.30	2.08
	3.35	3.41	2.10	Watch
	3.40	3.30	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	3.27 ↑ (3.09)	2.11 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
27.7%

Draw
28.4%

Peñarol de Montevideo
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.8%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

30.7%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernatene M. (G) 3. Strasorier S. 23. Castillo E. 18. Cayetano A. 24. Haller R. 5. Garayalde N. 16. Acosta L. 34. Lewis K. 10. Degregorio R. M. 7. Martinez F. (C) 9. Machado R.	29. Aguerre W. (G) 2. Pezzella G. 3. Lemos M. 34. Herrera N. 7. Cabrera J. 5. Remedi E. 21. Jesus Trindade (C) 13. Darias E. 11. Jaime C. 32. Umpierrez L. 19. Arezo M.
Substitutes
19. Bentancourt R. 26. Brizuela T. 25. Campana M. (G) 15. Laquidain S. 6. Milano S. 8. Mir M. 4. Perdomo F. 33. Pintos J. 27. Romero D. 22. Zabala D.	28. Alegre I. 77. Angulo L. 1. Britos S. (G) 26. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 8. Fernandez N. 80. Gonzalez F. 99. Hernandez A. 27. Lucas Hernandez 15. Olivera M. 33. Rodriguez J.
Coaches
Fossati J.	Aguirre D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Jesus Trindade 🟨,
26', Castillo E. 🟨,
32', Lemos M. 🟨,
45+2', Jesus Trindade 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lemos M. ↓, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↑,
49', Remedi E. 🟨,
63', Lewis K. 🟨,
65', Machado R. ↓, Bentancourt R. ↑,
65', Lewis K. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
72', Degregorio R. M. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Martinez F. ⚽,
75', Arezo M. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
75', Jaime C. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
75', Cabrera J. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
79', Pezzella G. 🟨,
84', Garayalde N. 🟨,
87', Acosta L. ↓, Laquidain S. ↑,
87', Garayalde N. ↓, Milano S. ↑,
87', Remedi E. ↓, Angulo L. ↑,
88', Milano S. 🟨,
90', Darias E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Peñarol may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Peñarol holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:25 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Liverpool against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:13 goals (averaging 1.6:1.4 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Penarol	12	6	4	2	16:8	8	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.10.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Progreso	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	Central Español - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
23.09.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.09.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWT
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.10.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Racing Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
30.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
24.09.26	Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
16.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1
13.04.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:2
16.11.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ET
13.09.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:2
Uruguay Copa
10.09.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.06.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	3:2
20.03.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:3

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