Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Belvedere (Montevideo)

Referee: Feres J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Liverpool Montevideo		Juventud de Las Piedras

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.05
	1.77	3.44	4.67	Watch
	2.04	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.11)	3.41 ↑ (3.23)	4.24 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
50.4%

Draw
27.5%

Juventud de Las Piedras
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liverpool Montevideo's performance.

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud de Las Piedras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liverpool Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud de Las Piedras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Liverpool Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Juventud (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Liverpool Montevideo will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Juventud (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lentinelly S. (C) 24. Amaro K. 2. Rea M. 23. Castillo E. 3. Suarez L. 16. Acosta L. 20. Rabunal M. 8. Napoli G. 11. Castro M. 10. Hernandez A. 7. Vallejo N.	1. Sosa S. (G) 24. Barrandeguy F. 19. Prado A. 18. Aja J. 23. Mas E. 32. Rossi I. 37. Peralta R. 29. Dominguez F. 80. Urretaviscaya J. (C) 77. Rodriguez T. 9. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
32. Bregante F. 5. Catarozzi F. 19. Forclaz E. 9. Machado R. 25. Marquez E. (G) 6. Milano S. 80. Mir M. 4. Perdomo F. 17. Soria N. 31. Wasilewsky L.	27. Boselli J. 22. Chagas R. 14. Duffard Villarreal M. N. 25. Gomez N. 8. Izaguirre M. 34. Lago P. 7. Nongoy P. 21. Perez F. 12. Rossi N. (G) 72. Soldano F.
Coaches
Papa J.	Mendez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Dominguez F. ↓, Izaguirre M. ↑,
27', Castillo E. 🟨,
41', Rea M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Izaguirre M. 🟨,
62', Rodriguez T. ↓, Nongoy P. ↑,
62', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Soldano F. ↑,
66', Hernandez A. 🟨,
71', Rabunal M. ↓, Catarozzi F. ↑,
71', Napoli G. ↓, Wasilewsky L. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Izaguirre M. ⚽,
75', Castro M. ↓, Perdomo F. ↑,
75', Acosta L. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
81', Peralta R. 🟨,
86', Aja J. 🟨,
88', Rodriguez A. ↓, Chagas R. ↑,
88', Rossi I. ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
89', Barrandeguy F. 🟨,
90+1', Catarozzi F. 🟨,
90+2', Castillo E. ↓, Soria N. ↑,
90+5', Sosa S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1.

Liverpool has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Juventud is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Liverpool is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Liverpool Montevideo - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.97%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.10.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Progreso	3:1 ✺
20.10.25	Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Boston River	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTWW
- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.10.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Plaza Colonia	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Racing Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Boston River - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
04.05.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0
20.10.19	Juventud de Las Piedras - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0
30.03.19	Liverpool Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1
22.11.17	Juventud de Las Piedras - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1
29.04.17	Liverpool Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:2
22.10.16	Liverpool Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0
21.02.16	Liverpool Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:3

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